The second-half breakout for Elijah Moore has been pretty spectacular, and there were signs it was coming even before it started.
Starting in Week 7, the team made a real effort to get Moore the ball with six targets against the New England Patriots. While Moore didn't turn those into production, he did turn his lone carry into a 19-yard-touchdown. The following week, he was more efficient, catching all six of his targets against the Bengals for 67 yards.
In the three weeks since, Moore has been the second-best wide receiver in Fantasy Football with 18 catches for 269 yards and four touchdowns. Making his breakout even more impressive is that he did this catching passes from Mike White, Josh Johnson and Joe Flacco. But that's also part of what makes people a little concerned in Week 12; he hasn't yet done it with Zach Wilson.
You wouldn't think anyone would be a major downgrade from those three quarterbacks, but Wilson has been markedly worse than anyone else who has thrown a pass for the Jets this season. He ranks dead last in completion percentage, touchdown rate, yards per attempt, and almost every other metric you could use to rank a quarterback.
So what does that mean for Moore? I currently have him ranked as a borderline No. 2 wide receiver, and I'll probably bump him up a few spots if Corey Davis is ruled out. It's a fantastic matchup and Moore is an elite talent, so hopefully Wilson can put the ball in the neighborhood.
Gage's targets have been up and down, even without Calvin Ridley, but the Falcons should be very pass happy against a Jacksonville defense that has been surprisingly good against the run.
This is mostly just a value play, especially on FanDuel, but Allen is pretty unique in terms of his floor/upside combination. He has at least 11 targets in four straight games and he's topped 20 PPR Fantasy points in three of his past four.
Chase's price hasn't really dropped enough considering his recent production, I'm hoping that will be enough to scare people away. He still has No. 1 overall upside at receiver this week and the Ravens have had a terrible time losing receivers deep this season. Chase had his best game of the season the last time he faced this defense. That was also the last time he topped 50 yards.
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Heath's Projections
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