Michael Fabiano gives Fantasy Football owners a look into next
season with his 2006 Player Rankings, which will be updated throughout the offseason
based on depth chart changes, personnel moves and injuries.
Much of the talk in Fantasy Football circles surrounds the NFL Draft and
which rookies will make the greatest impact for their new teams. But
another important topic of discussion centers around which current
veterans experienced the largest increase or decrease in value based on
what their teams did in the draft.
Here's our list of the 10 veterans who have seen the greatest post-draft
difference in value in both seasonal and keeper leagues.
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Fantasy: Top 10 veteran impacts
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Domanick Davis
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When the Houston Texans passed on USC RB Reggie Bush in
favor of N.C. State DE Mario Williams, the cheers of owners
who have Davis in keeper leagues could be heard from coast to
coast. The versatile Davis will now remain the unquestioned
starter for head coach Gary Kubiak, whose offense had bred
productive backs in Denver for several seasons. Davis is now a
recommended keeper in most leagues and worth as much as a
second-round selection in seasonal drafts.
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Deuce McAllister
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For each keeper leaguer who owned Davis and cheered the selection
of Williams, there was an owner who had McAllister and cried
buckets. McAllister's value had already fallen due to an injured
knee, and the presence of Bush makes him even less attractive in
all leagues. It wouldn't be a shock to see McAllister fail to rush
for 1,000-plus yards in what will be a two-back offensive attack,
and owners shouldn't be surprised when he's still on the board
after Round 4 in seasonal drafts.
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Chris Brown
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The selection of USC RB LenDale White deflates the value of
Brown and RB Travis Henry, who each failed to make a
consistent impact last season. While there are questions about
White's character and motivation, it's hard to ignore the level of
success he achieved at the collegiate level. Tennessee offensive
coordinator Norm Chow (who coached White at USC) knows how to
utilize White in an offense, so look for him to be selected ahead
of Brown and Henry in countless seasonal drafts.
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DeShaun Foster
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Foster has finished the past three seasons on injured reserve, so
there's a definite chance that RB DeAngelo Williams will be
allowed a chance to make an impact as a rookie at some point. This
situation looks to be another backfield committee, however, so
neither back will be consistent in the early part of the season.
Williams has stud potential and possesses far more long-term
value, so look for him to be selected ahead of Foster in most
drafts.
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Corey Dillon
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Dillon turns 32 in October, so it wasn't a shock when the Patriots
drafted his heir apparent, RB Laurence Maroney, in the
first round. However, owners shouldn't expect Maroney to take
Dillon's spot on the depth chart as a rookie. Unless injuries
become an issue, the veteran will remain the starter and is still
a more attractive choice in seasonal drafts. Of course, Maroney is
the back to choose in keeper leagues and has immense long-term
potential.
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Donald Driver
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The trade that sent WR Javon Walker to the Denver Broncos
made Driver the top wideout for QB Brett Favre in the pass
attack. WR Robert Ferguson is talented but prone to
injuries, Marc Boerigter and Rod Gardner are
inconsistent and rookie Greg Jennings won't make an
immediate impact, so Driver will be prominent and could record
1,200 yards and seven to nine touchdowns. Look for him to be a
solid middle-round choice in all seasonal drafts.
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Eric Johnson
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When NFL commissioner Paul Tagliabue called the name Vernon
Davis as San Francisco's first-round selection, Johnson's
value as a potential sleeper candidate disappeared like Mel Kiper
after the draft. While he should still be utilized in the offense,
it's hard to imagine that Johnson will see the same number of
opportuntiies as Davis in the pass attack. He's still worth a
late-round flier, but it's Davis, not Johnson, that owners should
target in drafts.
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Dominic Rhodes
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Much like Johnson, Rhodes' potential as a sleeper was damaged when
Indianapolis selected RB Joseph Addai with the No. 30
overall selection. GM Bill Polian has said that Rhodes will open
the season as the starter, but both Rhodes and Addai will share
carries in an attempt to replace RB Edgerrin James. Still,
Addai has far more potential in what will continue to be an
explosive offense, so Rhodes won't be worth more than a
middle-round choice.
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Kurt Warner
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There's no question that Warner will open the regular season as
the starter in Arizona and remain there unless injuries or a
terrible slide occurs. However, he is far less attractive in
long-term and dynasty leagues now that QB Matt Leinart is
in the mix. The left-handed quarterback and former Heisman winner
won't have immense seasonal value in most drafts, but he should be
under center for the Cards in 2007 and has limitless value in
keeper leagues.
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Jake Plummer
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When the Broncos traded up to No. 11 and selected QB Jay Cutler,
it meant the end of Plummer as a long-term option for head coach Mike
Shanahan. Jake the Snake didn't make a ton of mistakes last season
(until the AFC Championship Game), but 2006 could still be his
last as the starter. While Cutler has little value in seasonal
drafts, his potential and development under the guidance of
Shanahan makes him an attractive choice in all keeper leagues.
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More notables
The writing is on the wall for Titans QB Steve McNair, who could
be traded or released after the selection of Texas QB Vince Young
... Dallas TE Jason Witten could lose catches to WR Terrell
Owens and now Notre Dame TE Anthony Fasano. ...
Jacksonville's selection of UCLA RB Maurice Drew means the end is
near for brittle veteran RB Fred Taylor ... WR Tim Carter's
future role with the N.Y. Giants is in question after the selection of
Miami (FL) WR Sinorice Moss.
Mailbag
Terry Fries, Canada: Which back should I retain:
Ronnie Brown,
Rudi Johnson or
Carnell Williams?
M.F.: Johnson is solid and Brown's value has increased with the
suspension of Ricky Williams, but I'd have to drive the Cadillac
in this case. Tampa's draft (two offensive linemen, two tight ends)
screams of an increase in carries and better protection for Williams,
who will be the centerpiece of Jon Gruden's offense into the foreseeable
future.
Scott Peck, Bellingham, Mass.: I will retain Larry Johnson
but need to keep two more from Steven Jackson, Steve Smith and
Reggie Wayne. Suggestions?
M.F.: The player to release back into the pool here is Wayne, who
is a valuable asset but not on the same level as Smith. Pairing Jackson
with Johnson in the backfield is a no brainer.
Tim Leippi, Canada: Who should I choose with the first overall
selection in a keeper league: Bush or LaMont Jordan?
M.F.: I've been a fan of Jordan ever since he left New York for
Oakland, but he's nowhere near as valuable as Bush in a keeper league.
Don't be like the Houston Texans -- be sure to draft Bush.
Roy Bettencourt, Nevada: I'm in a keeper league that requires us
to retain 12 players and need to choose one from Domanick Davis,
Vernon Davis and Javon Walker. I'm solid at running back and OK at
wide receiver, but I have Dallas Clark at tight end.
M.F.: Domanick Davis has the most value because he's a true
featured back, but if you're 100 percent confident in the current
backfield then take a chance on Vernon Davis. He's an absolute beast and
has a chance to be one of the league's most productive tight ends for
seasons to come.
Phil Vallie, Minneapolis: I have been offered Larry Fitzgerald
in exchange for the first overall selection in our keeper league. I would
draft Bush with the pick and pair him with Larry Johnson, but should I
look to acquire Fitzgerald instead?
M.F.: Fitzgerald is a stud and has immense value in keeper
leagues, but Bush has far too much potential to pass on. A back in the
same mold as Gale Sayers or Marshall Faulk, Bush has a chance to
be a special player at the professional level.
You can e-mail your questions to us at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com Be sure to put Attn: In the Trenches
in the subject field. Please be aware that due to the large volume of
submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses or answers
to all questions.
Michael Fabiano is the champion of the 2005 Gridiron Guru League
II.