MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants
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The Atlanta Braves have lost back-to-back games just once since the beginning of June, going 35-12 in that span. They look to avoid consecutive defeats for the first time since June 17-18 when they kick off a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday. Atlanta (58-39), which leads the National League Wild Card race, suffered a 9-1 home loss against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday to fall 1.5 games behind the first-place New York Mets in the NL East. The Phillies (49-46) have dropped three in a row but are just one game out of the third and final Wild Card spot. Atlanta is a -190 money-line favorite in the latest Braves vs. Phillies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Philadelphia is a +158 underdog.

First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. The game is one of 12 on the MLB schedule for Monday evening. Other matchups include the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers hosting the Colorado Rockies and the American League West-best Houston Astros visiting the Oakland Athletics. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 284-243 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns. 

Now, the model has locked in four confident MLB best bets for Monday. They all involve games at 7:05 p.m. ET or later, so there's still time to get these MLB picks in. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of more than 20-1. You can see the model's MLB picks only at SportsLine

Top MLB picks today

The model, which simulated every game on Monday's schedule 10,000 times, is taking the Bost Red Sox (-1.5 at +162) to cover against the Cleveland Guardians. Boston is seeking a strong pitching performance as it looks to end a five-game losing streak during which it has surrendered 67 runs. Right-hander Nick Pivetta proved he's capable of providing just that when he limited the Guardians to two runs over seven innings in a 6-3 victory on June 24.

The Red Sox also is optimistic for the return of All-Star J.D. Martinez, who has missed the team's first three games out of the break due to back spasms. The 34-year-old is one of Boston's top hitters with a .302 batting average and is tied for fourth on the club with 38 RBIs. Martinez has been a beast at the plate against Cleveland righty Zach Plesac during his career, going 5-for-8 with two doubles, a home run and a pair of RBIs. Meanwhile, Alex Verdugo has posted back-to-back two-hit performances while Jackie Bradley Jr. has gone deep twice in his last three contests.

How to make MLB picks and parlays for Monday

The model also locked in three other best bets for Monday, including a play on a road underdog that has plenty of value. You can only see the model's MLB parlay picks and best bets at SportsLine

What MLB picks should you target for a payout of more than 20-1? And which road underdog does the model like on Monday? Visit SportsLine now to see the MLB best bets for Monday from a model that has a 284-243 record on top-rated picks since the start of the 2021 season, and find out.