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A 2023 ALDS showdown features the No. 3 seed Minnesota Twins going on the road to play the No. 2 seed Houston Astros on Saturday. The Twins went 87-75 and won the AL Central before going on to win their first postseason series since 2022. Houston logged a 90-72 record and secured the AL West for the third straight year. Minnesota was 4-2 against Houston during the 2023 campaign. Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22 ERA) is on the hill for Houston, while Minnesota will start Bailey Ober (8-6, 3.43 ERA).

The first pitch is set for 4:45 p.m. ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. Houston is the -147 as the money-line favorites (risk $147 to win $100) in the latest Twins vs. Astros odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total runs scored is 8. Before making any Astros vs. Twins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the 2023 MLB playoffs 91-73 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Twins vs. Astros and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Astros vs. Twins:

  • Astros vs. Twins money line: Astros -147, Twins +129
  • Astros vs. Twins run line: Astros -1.5 (+137)
  • Astros vs. Twins over/under: 8 runs
  • MIN: The Twins have hit the team total Over in 46 of their last 73 games
  • HOU: The Astros returned -1746 on the money line in home games this season 
  • Astros vs. Twins picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Astros

Third baseman Alex Bregman is a confident player across the board. The 29-year-old had a .262 batting average with 25 home runs and 98 RBI in 2023. On Oct. 1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Bregman went 2 of 4 with a triple and a two-run homer.

Second baseman Jose Altuve brings outstanding energy onto the field. Altuve has a nice pop in his swing but complete control at the dish. The 33-year-old had a batting average of .311 with 17 home runs and 51 RBI in 90 games. On Sept. 27 versus the Seattle Mariners, Altuve went 2 for 5 with a double. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Twins

Right fielder Max Kepler is an excellent hitter with sound pitch-recognition skills. The 30-year-old ranked first on the team in home runs (24) with a batting average of .260 and 66 RBI. In the Game 2 win over the Blue Jays, Kepler went 1-for-4 with a single and a run scored.

Shortstop Carlos Correa is one of the best players on the field for the Twins. Correa owns a good combination of throwing power and instincts as a defender. Additionally, the two-time All-Star has the power to push the ball anywhere on the diamond. On Wednesday versus the Blue Jays, Correa went 2-for-3 with two singles and one run driven in. For his postseason career, Correa's 60 RBI lead all active players. See which team to back here.

How to make Twins vs. Astros picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 7.9 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Astros vs. Twins, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 91-73 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.