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The Philadelphia Phillies will look to move one step closer to locking up their second consecutive World Series bid when they battle the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3 of their National League Championship Series on Thursday. Philadelphia has won the first two games in decisive fashion, including a 10-0 victory in Tuesday's Game 2. The Phillies (90-72), who placed second in the NL East, are hoping to make their fourth trip to the World Series since 2008, the last time they won it. The Diamondbacks (84-78), who placed second in the NL West, are looking to make their second World Series appearance ever, after winning it in 2001.

The game from Chase Field in Phoenix is scheduled to start at 5:07 p.m. ET. The Phillies have MLB's third-best batting average in the postseason at .274, while the Diamondbacks are fourth at .262. Philadelphia is a -127 favorite on the money line (risk $127 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over-under for total runs scored is 9. Before locking in any Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies:

  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks money line: Philadelphia -127, Arizona +108
  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks over-under: 9 runs
  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+124)
  • PHI: The Phillies have hit the money line in 72 of their last 113 games
  • AZ: The Diamondbacks have hit the game total under in 50 of their last 89 games
  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Phillies

Designated hitter Kyle Schwarber has been red hot in the series, blasting three home runs. He is hitting .429 in the series and has hits in six of eight postseason games, including a 2-for-3 performance with three runs scored, two homers and two RBI in Philadelphia's Game 2 win on Tuesday. Throughout his career, Schwarber has come through when the lights are brightest, smashing 18 postseason home runs in 58 career playoff games, including nine in 25 games with the Phillies over the past two years. During the regular season, he hit just .197 but registered 47 home runs, 104 RBI and 108 runs scored.

Second baseman Bryson Stott is coming off a 2-for-4 performance with two runs scored and one stolen base in the Game 2 win. Stott is hitting .250 in the postseason, including two multi-hit efforts. His first was in Game 1 of the NLDS against Atlanta, when he was 2-for-3 with a walk, stolen base and RBI. During the regular season, Stott hit .280 with 15 homers, 62 RBI and 78 runs scored. He also feasted on Arizona pitching as in seven games, he hit .393 with a triple, three homers and five RBI. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Diamondbacks

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86 ERA postseason) is expected to get the start for Arizona. He closed the regular season on a high note, winning two of his last three decisions, including a 3-0 win over the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 27. In that game, he scattered five hits, while striking out eight in 5.2 innings. In a 4-2 NLDS win over the Dodgers on Oct. 11, he pitched 4.1 innings, allowing just two hits and two strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies.

Right fielder Corbin Carroll has been a bright spot on offense for the Diamondbacks, hitting .333 in seven postseason games. He has hits in five of those games, including multiple hits in three. Carroll has blasted a pair of home runs, including one in a 2-for-5 performance in a win over the Dodgers in Game 1 of the NLDS. In 155 regular season games in 2023, Carroll batted .285 with 30 doubles, 10 triples, 25 homers, 76 RBI and 116 runs scored. See which team to back here.

How to make Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 8.7 combined runs. It also says one side on the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.