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The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies square off in a Game 5 battle in the 2023 NLCS on Saturday night. The Phillies are looking to bounce back after leading the series 2-0. In Game 4, Arizona skated off with a 6-5 victory. Philadelphia owned a 4-3 edge over Arizona in the regular season. Zack Wheeler (2-0, 2.37 ERA in the 2023 MLB playoffs) will start for Philadelphia, with Zac Gallen (2-1, 4.96 ERA in postseason) on the hill for Arizona. 

First pitch is set for 8:07 p.m. ET. The Phillies are listed at -136 on the money line (risk $136 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds. The over/under for total runs scored is 8. Before locking in any Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies:

  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks money line: Philadelphia -136, Arizona +115
  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks run line: Phillies -1.5 (+126)
  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks over/under: 8 runs
  • PHI: Returned -504 on the money line in road games this season 
  • ARI: Returned +848 on the money line in home games this season
  • Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Phillies

First baseman Bryce Harper is a consistent offensive weapon. Harper has the strength and plate coverage skills to push the ball into any gap. The seven-time All-Star has a .323 batting average with four home runs and seven RBI in the 2023 MLB playoffs. In Game 1 versus the Diamondbacks, Harper went 2 of 3 with a two-run homer.

Catcher J.T. Realmuto is a reliable presence behind the plate. Realmuto does a solid job framing pitches and has the arm strength to throw out runners. The 32-year-old currently has a team-best 10 RBI with two home runs and a batting average of .270 in the postseason. He went 1 of 4 with a base hit and one run scored in his last outing. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Diamondbacks

Second baseman Ketel Marte provides the Diamondbacks with a reliable hitter. Marte is difficult to strike out due to his awareness and pitch recognition skills. He leads the team in batting average (.385) and hits (15) with five RBI in the playoffs. In the Game 3 victory over the Phillies, Marte went 3 of 5 with two doubles and one RBI.

Left fielder Corbin Carroll is another patient and secure hitter. Carroll uses his feel for the strike zone to make consistent contact. The 23-year-old has a batting average of .250 with two home runs and four RBI. Catcher Gabriel Moreno owns great quickness and athleticism behind the plate as a defender. Moreno adds power and run-producing ability on the offensive end. He's first on the team in RBI (8) with three home runs in the 2023 postseason. See which team to back here.

How to make Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.3 combined runs. It also says one side on the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.