Thursday afternoon's MLB slate features an intriguing matchup between the Texas Rangers and the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers enter on a six-game winning streak, including three straight wins against the Rangers. Detroit looks for a sweep in a four-game set, while Texas aims to avoid a seventh straight loss to begin the second half. Mike Foltynewicz starts for the Rangers, with Tyler Alexander on the hill for the Tigers.

William Hill Sportsbook lists the Tigers as -135 money line favorites (risk $135 to win $100) for this 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 9.5 in the latest Rangers vs. Tigers odds. Before making any Tigers vs. Rangers picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, is 125-99 on top-rated MLB picks through 16 weeks in the 2021 season, returning over $600. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league's last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in its Rangers vs. Tigers picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its MLB picks. Now, here are the MLB odds today and betting trends for Tigers vs. Rangers:

  • Rangers vs. Tigers money line: Tigers -135, Rangers +125
  • Rangers vs. Tigers over-under: 9.5 runs 
  • Rangers vs. Tigers run line: Tigers -1.5 (+140)
  • TEX: The Rangers are 0-6 since the All-Star break 
  • DET: The Tigers are on a six-game winning streak

Why you should back the Rangers

The Rangers are unquestionably struggling, but there are reasons for optimism. Texas is led by a pair of boppers, with Joey Gallo and Adolis Garcia capable of changing any game. Gallo enters with 24 home runs, 72 walks and a slugging percentage of .502 on the season. Garcia has 22 home runs and a .505 slugging percentage. 

In terms of the matchup, the Tigers have a bottom-five bullpen ERA, allowing more than five earned runs per nine innings. Detroit is also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts as a pitching staff, and the Tigers have the second-most strikeouts in the AL on offense. 

Why you should back the Tigers

Beyond Detroit's own strengths, it can benefit from the weaknesses of Texas. The Rangers are winless since the All-Star break. That is brutal enough on its own, but Texas has been outscored by a whopping 47-5 margin in six games. The Rangers have allowed 138 home runs this season, including three against Detroit in the last matchup on Wednesday, and Foltynewicz allowed 10 earned runs in his last outing. 

The Rangers are allowing opponents to hit over .260 against them this season, and Texas is also last in the American League in runs scored, OPS and slugging percentage. The Tigers have potent offensive contributors, headlined by Jonathan Schoop and Akil Baddoo. Detroit leads the American League in triples and the Tigers can change the game with team speed. Moreover, Foltynewicz has a hideous 8.47 ERA in his last eight starts and the Rangers are flying high while playing their best baseball of the season.

How to make Rangers vs. Tigers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the run total, projecting a combined 9.4 runs. It says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks today at SportsLine.

So who wins Rangers vs. Tigers? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Rangers vs. Tigers you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.