Pistons vs. Pacers odds, line: NBA picks, predictions from computer simulation on 65-48 run

SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Pistons vs. Pacers 10,000 times.

Myles Turner and the Indiana Pacers host Andre Drummond and the Detroit Pistons on Monday, and tipoff from Bankers Life Fieldhouse is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Pacers are on a three-game losing streak, which has caused them to drop the No. 4 seed to the Boston Celtics. A win on Monday would put them back ahead of the Celtics, which will be important if they want home-court advantage in the first round of the 2019 NBA playoffs. Detroit has won two straight and finds itself half-a-game ahead of the Nets for the No. 6 seed in the East. Indiana is listed as a five-point favorite, while the over-under for total points is 204 in the latest Pacers vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any Pistons vs. Pacers picks of your own, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model. 

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks. It entered Week 24 of the 2018-19 NBA season with a sterling 268-206 record on all top-rated picks, returning over $4,700 in profit to anybody following them. And it has been particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA picks against the spread, entering Week 24 on a strong 65-48 run. Anybody who has followed it is way up..

Now it has locked in on Pistons vs. Pacers. We can tell you it's leaning over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see that selection at SportsLine.

The model is well aware of how important home-court advantage is in this matchup. The Pacers are actually five games under .500 on the road, but have been stellar when playing in Indianapolis. They boast a 28-10 record at home, as well as a strong 58 percent cover rate at home.

They crushed the Pistons by 37 the last time these teams faced off in Bankers Life Fieldhouse, and with Detroit playing this game without Blake Griffin, the Pacers have a major edge on paper. 

Just because Indiana has been strong at home doesn't guarantee it will cover the Pistons vs. Pacers on Monday.

The model is also well aware that while Indiana has been a force against-the-spread at home, Detroit has been nearly as strong on the road. The Pistons' 54.3 percent cover rate as the visiting team is the NBA's eighth-best mark, and they are 3-0-1 against-the-spread in four road games over the past two weeks.

If they are going to cover on Monday, it will likely be because of Drummond, who has averaged 18 points, 16 rebounds, and nearly three blocks in six games against the Pacers over the past two seasons. The dominant paint protector is averaging 20 points, 19 rebounds, four assists, and an unprecedented seven combined steals and blocks over his two most recent games. 

So who wins Pacers vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Pacers vs. Pistons spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.