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Teams looking to post their first winning season since 2016 meet when the New York Giants battle the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football. The Giants (7-5-1), who last made the postseason six years ago, have dominated Washington of late, going 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings. The Commanders (7-5-1), meanwhile, have lost just once since Oct. 9 and have put themselves in position to make the postseason for the first time since 2020. Two weeks ago, the teams played to a 20-20 tie.

Kickoff from FedEx Field is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Washington is a 4-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Giants odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 40.5. Before you make any Giants vs. Commanders picks or predictions, make sure you check out what SportsLine's resident Commanders expert, Larry Hartstein, has to say.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Entering the 2022 NFL season, he is 427-344 all-time on NFL sides (plus $3,764 for $100 players), including 394-330 against the spread. Hartstein went 68-50 ATS (58 percent) and 8-3 on money-line plays last season for a profit of $1,552. 

In addition, Hartstein has gone 22-8-1 on his last 31 picks involving the Commanders, returning $1,301. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has zoned in on Giants vs. Commanders and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Commanders:

  • Commanders vs. Giants spread: Commanders -4 
  • Commanders vs. Giants over/under: 40.5 points 
  • Commanders vs. Giants money line: New York Giants +175, Washington -210 
  • NYG: Giants are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games following an ATS loss 
  • WAS: Commanders are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall 
  • Commanders vs. Giants picks: See picks here

Why the Commanders can cover

Wide receiver Curtis Samuel had six catches and 86 scrimmage yards in the Week 13 meeting with the Giants. He has 54 receptions on the year, his third-career 50-plus catch season. He has found the end zone four times, including three receiving and one rushing touchdown, with 10 explosive plays, including eight receiving. His best game was Sept. 18 at Detroit, when he made seven receptions for 78 yards and one touchdown.

Defensively, defensive tackle Jonathan Allen has made a big impression for the Commanders. He had eight tackles, one sack and his second-career forced fumble in the Week 13 meeting. He has a career-high 15 tackles for loss this season, and is looking for his fifth game in a row against the Giants with a half-sack or more. He is among the team leaders in tackles with 53, including 39 solo, with 7.5 sacks. See which team to pick here.

Why the Giants can cover 

New York is led by quarterback Daniel Jones, who had two touchdowns (one rushing and one passing) and a 96.1 rating last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. It was his sixth-career game with both a rushing and passing touchdown. Jones completed 25 of 31 attempts (80.6%) and had 271 yards from scrimmage, including 200 passing, with one touchdown and no interceptions for a 104.3 rating in the Week 13 meeting with the Commanders. He has seven touchdowns and zero interceptions for a 111.4 rating in three career starts at Washington. For the season, Jones has thrown 12 touchdowns and been picked off four times.

Also powering the Giants' offense is running back Saquon Barkley. The fifth-year pro has played in all 13 games with 251 carries for 1,083 yards (4.3 average) and eight touchdowns. He also has eight explosive plays, including a long of 68 yards. He has been a weapon in the passing game as well with 42 receptions for 261 yards (6.2 average) with two big plays, including a long of 41 yards. See which team to pick here.

How to make Commanders vs. Giants picks

For Sunday Night Football's matchup, Hartstein is leaning over on the point total, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Giants vs. Commanders on Sunday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Giants vs. Commanders spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the expert who's 22-8 on picks involving Washington, and find out.