Week 11 NFL odds, picks, schedule, how to watch and stream: Expert picks against the spread, survivor, more
The NFL is back for Week 11, and CBSSports.com and SportsLine are breaking down every single game
By
R.J. White
•
13 min read
It's Week 11 of the NFL season, and we have a few big matchups in store on CBS. At 1 p.m. ET, the Texans and Ravens square off in a potential playoff preview as both teams hold top-three seeds heading into this week's action. It should also be a fun matchup to watch, with MVP candidates Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson battling for what could be a crucial win for determining a playoff bye.
The 4 p.m. slate features one of the biggest games of the season, with Bill Belichick getting his first crack at revenge against Doug Pederson in a rematch of Super Bowl LII. Though the Eagles beat the Patriots in the title game, the Patriots are favorites in Philadelphia, something that Eagles players are sure to have noticed.
Each week, we'll collect all of the best picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional feature content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more.
Enjoy our run through of Week 11, and good luck in your games!
Who should you back against the spread, on the money line and the total in every Week 11 NFL game? And which Super Bowl contender goes down? Visit SportsLine to see their Week 11 NFL cheat sheet, all from the model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.
Cowboys at Lions
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
- Open: Cowboys -6.5, O/U 47
- Current: Cowboys -6.5, O/U 47
"The Cowboys suffered a tough 28-24 home loss to the Minnesota Vikings in primetime last week, and they will be motivated to get back into the win column on Sunday. The Lions have an injured quarterback and a weak secondary, so the Cowboys definitely have an opportunity to release some pent-up rage. Dak Prescott has historically been great against Detroit, and has thrown for five touchdowns and recorded a passer rating of 135.7 in his two career starts against the Lions. To put the Lions' secondary into perspective, Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky threw for three touchdowns against them last week. He had thrown just two touchdowns the previous four games. Ezekiel Elliott also recorded a career high 240 scrimmage yards in his last meeting with the Lions, and he could be called upon a good amount if the Cowboys were to get out to an early lead." -- Jordan Dajani on why he thinks the Cowboys will roll on Sunday
Dajani predicted a Browns win on Thursday, and you'll want to check out his upset pick for Week 11. See his final score projections for every game in his Thursday column.
Saints at Buccaneers
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
- Open: Saints -5.5, O/U 51.5
- Current: Saints -5.5, O/U 49.5
"You think Saints-Bucs and you think shootout right? Well, that makes some sense. But these two teams actually don't light up the scoreboard that much when they meet up in Tampa. Since 2010, the under is 7-2 in these type of games. The lowest total we've seen is 44 in that stretch, with several of them finishing in the 50-point range. Only twice has this matchup gone above 50 points in that stretch. Drew Brees doesn't throw the ball down the field, and the Saints will be content to hit Michael Thomas over and over and over and just move the chains. No Marshon Lattimore could mean Mike Evans getting deep, but I think the Bucs will try to play some ball control as well. The Tampa setup just isn't conducive to a track meet. Give me the Under easily here." -- Will Brinson on why the Under in Saints-Bucs is one of his best bets
Brinson continues to roll with his best bets, going 34-25-2 on the season. See who else he loves this week in his Friday column.
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| Saints (-5.5) at Bucs |  | |  | | | | | |
Falcons at Panthers
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
- Open: Panthers -6, O/U 51
- Current: Panthers -4.5, O/U 49
"Good for Atlanta going into New Orleans and spoiling what should've been an easy win for the Saints. It's not going to happen again. Carolina can't stop the run, but Devonta Freeman is out, and Kyle Allen has quietly been really good. Panthers got this." -- Cody Benjamin on why the Panthers will win and cover on Sunday
Benjamin is also predicting a couple of big upsets in Week 11, and you can see all his final score predictions in his Thursday column.
Jaguars at Colts
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
- Open: Colts -3, O/U 44
- Current: Colts -2.5, O/U 43.5
"The Jaguars have had Indy's number lately, going 7-0-1 ATS since 2015 including that weird 6-0 shutout last year where Frank Reich's squad had no answer for the Jacksonville defense. Having Nick Foles back could mean the Colts defense is hit with plays and concepts that they haven't seen on tape, and he figures to be an upgrade for the offense even after Gardner Minshew had his bright moments. The Jacksonville defense might be the best unit in this game, and road teams coming off a bye have been profitable against the spread long-term. I can definitely see the Jaguars winning this game even if Jacoby Brissett is back." -- R.J. White on why the Jaguars are one of his SuperContest picks in Week 11
I've cashed in two of the last four years in the Westgate SuperContest, widely considered the toughest sports gambling competition in the world. I've also hit on just over 58% of my picks over the last four years combined. You can see all five of my Week 11 picks in the SuperContest by heading to SportsLine, and use promo code WHITE to sign up for $1 for your first month of access to all SportsLine's picks and analysis.
Broncos at Vikings
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
- Open: Vikings -10, O/U 38.5
- Current: Vikings -10, O/U 40.5
"One problem that the Broncos have heading into this game is that Brandon Allen will be making the first road start of his career. If you're a quarterback making your first road start, ideally you want that start to come against a bad team that you could potentially beat, like Cincinnati or Washington. Instead, Allen has to make his start against the only team in the NFC that's still undefeated at home this year. Another problem for Allen is that the Vikings have been one of the best teams in the NFL at stopping the run this season, which means if Denver is going to win, it's going to be because Allen puts up huge numbers. Spoiler alert: Allen is not going to put up huge numbers. Also, let's not forget the most important thing of all: The Broncos have a losing record and we all know that no one is better at beating bad teams than Kirk Cousins." -- John Breech on why the Vikings are his lock of the week
Breech hit the Browns beating the Steelers on Thursday, and he's picking an upset in one of the two remaining primetime games this week. Find out which in his Tuesday column.
Jets at Redskins
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
- Open: Redskins -1.5, O/U 38
- Current: Redskins -2.5, O/U 38.5
"Both of these teams are stuck in the suck, but the Redskins shouldn't be favored against anyone. They haven't pieced together one completely competent performance this season -- they were lucky to escape the Dolphins' late charge in their lone win. The Jets aren't good, but they have at least demonstrated the ability to score points with Sam Darnold. We saw it in Week 10 when the Jets put up 34 points on a Giants defense that ranked, at the time, 25th in DVOA. The Jets offense should be able to find similar success against a Redskins defense that is 24th in DVOA. But the biggest reason I like the Jets is their defense, which is actually kinda sorta maybe good. By DVOA, they're actually 11th. We know that the Redskins will run the ball considering it's what Bill Callahan wants to do, they're starting rookie Dwayne Haskins at quarterback, and Haskins hasn't yet demonstrated that he's NFL ready. So, it's good news then that the Jets' defense is No. 2 against the run by DVOA. And even if the Redskins do air it out, does anyone have confidence that Haskins can avoid turning the ball over? He's already racked up four interceptions even though he's attempted only 44 passes this year." -- Sean Wagner-McGough on why the Jets are one of his best bets
Wagner-McGough is coming off a winning week in his best bets. See who else he likes in Week 11 in his Thursday column.
Bills at Dolphins
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
- Open: Bills -6, O/U 39
- Current: Bills -6.5, O/U 40.5
Pete Prisco: "Miami's playing hard. I think Buffalo is team that plays hard too, but if you're going to give me six points with the Dolphins at home, I'm taking it. This Bills team doesn't blow anybody out, I'm taking the points."
R.J. White: "What if I gave you seven, because for some reason the line crept up ... Miami is not the same team that was blasted in September. They've covered five straight, that's the hottest streak against the spread in the NFL right now. And they had their best game of the year offensively against the Bills. It was a 31-21 final, but it wasn't really, because Micah Hyde returned the onside kick for touchdown, it was a three-point game at that point and Dolphins were leading heading into the fourth quarter. ... Buffalo hasn't been more than a four-point favorite since 2014. They were once that year and before that it was 2008, so one time in 11 years they've been more than a four-point favorite."
That's from the Pick Six Podcast, where I join Pete Prisco and Will Brinson every Friday to break down all the games from a gambling perspective and give out best bets. Give it a listen below and subscribe for great NFL content in your feed daily.
Texans at Ravens
- Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
- Open: Ravens -4.5, O/U 50
- Current: Ravens -4, O/U 49.5
"The Texans are giving up just 84 rushing yards per game, and they've got a ton of offensive weapons. Deshaun Watson can keep up with Lamar Jackson. The Ravens' defense is improving, but they still only have 14 sacks and 11 turnovers. Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games. Take the points." -- Hammerin' Hank Goldberg on why the Texans are one of his best bets for Week 11
Goldberg is a Vegas legend who hit two best bet parlays earlier this year. You can see the other teams he loves in Week 11 by heading over to SportsLine.
Cardinals at 49ers
- Time: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
- Open: 49ers -13.5, O/U 46
- Current: 49ers -10, O/U 45
"Chandler Jones is having a dominant season and that 49ers offense is not in great shape right now. Jimmy G is coming off a very rough outing and he is running out of people to throw the ball too, not that he had an abundance to begin with. I see no signs of a 49ers secondary receiver emerging, and you take out George Kittle and you look at the issues on the offensive line and Arizona already has a good feel for the 49ers. I honestly don't think an upset is out of the question here. Kyler Murray can keep the 49ers defense guessing a bit and if Arizona can just make a play or two in the red zone, I really believe this will be a game until the final whistle." -- Jason La Canfora on why the Cardinals are one of his best bets
Like many of us, La Canfora missed on the Steelers on Thursday, but he has three winners in place for Week 11. Check them out in his Friday column.
Patriots at Eagles
- Time: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
- Open: Patriots -3.5, O/U 45.5
- Current: Patriots -3, O/U 45
"Both of these teams are coming off the bye. The Patriots need to get back on track after losing the last time out to the Ravens. I think they will. The Eagles need this game a lot more in terms of their division race, but I think the Patriots will find a way behind Tom Brady." -- Pete Prisco on why he believes the Patriots will win a close game on Sunday
Prisco has the final in Patriots-Eagles at 27-23, which would also cash the Over despite the Patriots' top-ranked defense. See the rest of his picks for the week in his Wednesday column.
Bengals at Raiders
- Time: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
- Open: Raiders -10, O/U 48.5
- Current: Raiders -11.5, O/U 48.5
There are a few big spreads to pick from this week, but you can bet almost everyone alive in your survivor pool will be clicking the Raiders. It's unlikely anyone has burned them yet, as this is just the second time this year they've been favored, and the other was by less than a field goal. The Bengals look terrible in all facets of the game, and though they're unlikely to go winless all year, the Raiders have played well enough that it's hard to see this being the week Cincinnati gets its first win. The Raiders are 3-1 at home in their last season in Oakland, with the only loss coming against a mostly healthy Chiefs team back in Week 2. Expect them to take care of business here.
Want another opinion on this week's slate before settling on your survivor pick? Head over to SportsLine to see which team gets the nod from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated each matchup 10,000 times.
Bears at Rams
- Time: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
- Open: Rams -7, O/U 41
- Current: Rams -6.5, O/U 40.5
Though I've struggled over the last few weeks with my picks, this is a matchup featuring two teams I nail more often than not. Not only have I nailed 24 of my last 36 spread picks involving the Bears, I've also cashed on 27 of my last 40 spread picks involving the Rams.
Will that cash rate of around 67 percent on each team pay off this week? If you listen to the Pick Six Podcast, you know I love the Under here, but you'll have to head over to SportsLine to check out which side of the spread I'm on.
Chiefs vs. Chargers in Mexico City
- Time: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
- Open: Chiefs -4, O/U 53
- Current: Chiefs -4, O/U 52
SportsLine's hottest expert is senior analyst Larry Hartstein, who has crushed by hitting 36 of his last 55 picks against the spread, good for a 65.4 percent cash rate. He's also hit on four of his last five picks involving the Chargers, who will square off with the Chiefs in Mexico City on Monday night.
Hartstein has locked in a strong play on the Monday night matchup, and while he's leaning to the Over, you'll have to head over to SportsLine to see which one of these teams he's backing to cover the spread.
Thanks for checking us out, and good luck with your picks!
