North Texas vs. San Diego State prediction, odds, time: 2025 New Mexico Bowl picks by proven model
The SportsLine Projection Model has revealed its North Texas vs. San Diego State picks for the New Mexico Bowl 2025 on Saturday
Teams looking to finish their season on a high note meet when the North Texas Mean Green battle the San Diego State Aztecs in the 2025 New Mexico Bowl on Saturday. UNT, who lost head coach Eric Morris to Oklahoma State, is coming off a 34-21 loss to Tulane in the American Conference Championship Game, while San Diego State finished its regular season with a 23-17 two-overtime loss at New Mexico on Nov. 28. The Mean Green (11-2), who finished tied for first in the American at 7-1, have won six of their last seven games. The Aztecs (9-3), who finished in a four-way tie for the Mountain West title, are 2-2 in their last four games. Star North Texas quarterback Drew Mestemaker is playing in this game before then deciding on his future plans. SDSU starting quarterback Jayden Denegal (shoulder) had surgery recently and will not play.
Kickoff from University Stadium in Albuquerque, N.M., is at 5:45 p.m. ET. The Mean Green are 6.5-point favorites in the latest North Texas vs. San Diego State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 52.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any North Texas vs. San Diego State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on its top-rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season.
Now, the model has set its sights on North Texas vs. San Diego State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for SDSU vs. North Texas:
North Texas vs. San Diego State spread | North Texas -6.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook |
North Texas vs. San Diego State over/under | 52.5 points |
North Texas vs. San Diego State money line | North Texas -231, San Diego State +190 |
North Texas vs. San Diego State picks | |
North Texas vs. San Diego State streaming | Fubo (Try for free) |
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How to make North Texas vs. San Diego State picks
SportsLine's model is going Over (52.5) on the total. The Over has hit in three of North Texas' last four games.
The model has Mestemaker throwing for more than 365 yards and three touchdowns, while San Diego State running back Lucky Sutton rushes for more than 110 yards and one touchdown. The teams are projected to combine for 59 points as the Over clears in well over 50% of simulations.
The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins North Texas vs. San Diego State, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the North Texas vs. San Diego State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's up on its top-ranked money-line and total picks, and find out.
