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The Kansas State Wildcats began their 2021 season with a three-game winning streak but then hit a skid, losing their next three contests. They followed with four consecutive victories before running into Baylor, which ended their run with a 20-10 triumph last week. The Wildcats (7-4, 4-4) aim to conclude the regular season on a high note when they visit the Texas Longhorns (4-7, 2-6) for a Big 12 Conference battle on Friday. Texas enters with a six-game losing streak after falling 31-23 at West Virginia last Saturday.

Kickoff at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Tex. is set for noon ET. The Longhorns are three-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Kansas State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 52.5. Before locking in any Kansas State vs. Texas picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Kansas State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Kansas State vs. Texas: 

  • Texas vs. Kansas State spread: Longhorns -3 
  • Texas vs. Kansas State over-under: 52.5 points 
  • Texas vs. Kansas State money line: Longhorns -150, Wildcats +130 
  • TEX: The Longhorns are 0-6 against the spread in their last six games 
  • KSU: The Wildcats are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings with the Longhorns

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns did most of their damage in last year's triumph on the ground, rushing for 334 yards and seven touchdowns. Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson were unstoppable, with both scoring three times while the former gained 172 yards and the latter recording 139. Robinson is out for this matchup with a dislocated elbow, but Johnson is coming off a 77-yard, one-touchdown outing against West Virginia and hopes for another big performance versus the Wildcats.

With one Robinson unavailable last week, Texas' offense relied on another as sophomore Keilan Robinson rushed nine times for a career-high 111 yards and a touchdown in the 31-23 loss to the Mountaineers. The transfer from Alabama had only eight carries for 61 yards in his previous five outings. Freshman wideout Xavier Worthy is the top weapon in the Longhorns' aerial attack as he is tied for fourth in the nation with 12 touchdown catches while leading the team with 56 receptions and 916 yards.

Why Kansas State can cover

The Wildcats' offense is led by running back Deuce Vaughn, who is 17th in the nation with 1,115 rushing yards and tied for 10th with 14 touchdown runs. The sophomore has gained at least 100 yards in four consecutive games and nine of his last 13 dating back to last season while finishing one yard shy of the plateau in another contest. Vaughn, who had 11 carries for 128 yards and a TD against Baylor, has rushed for a score in five straight outings -- recording a total of nine touchdown runs in that span.

Vaughn also is a key member of Kansas State's aerial attack as he leads the team with 45 receptions and trails junior wideout Phillip Brooks (465) by one yard for first on the club. Defensively, Felix Anudike-Uzomah is tied for third in the country with 11 sacks and 16th with 14.5 tackles for loss. The sophomore defensive end also ranks first nationally with a school record-tying six forced fumbles and needs 0.5 sacks to equal the program's single-season mark.

How to make Texas vs. Kansas State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 63 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Kansas State vs. Texas pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas vs. Kansas State? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kansas State vs. Texas spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,700 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.