Pittman is hoping to rebound after a disappointing campaign, which is why his draft value has tanked to the Round 10 range. That's not bad for a receiver who has previously proven to be solid as a high-target earner, even in an offense he's never been a big red-zone threat in. Problem: that target volume figures to come down with the Colts preferring to run the ball, plus they added stud tight end Tyler Warren with their first-round pick. We'd love to pencil in seven targets per game for Pittman, which is right about what he had last year, but that resulted in only 10.4 PPR points per game, partially because of bad QB play and partially because he played through a back injury. He should be a little better than that, but probably on fewer targets. Draft him with the expectation of roughly 11.5 PPR points per game, which is unquestionably what you'd be OK with from a bench receiver.