A betting guide to the 2014 Masters
Phil Mickelson, Rory McIlroy, and Adam Scott are prominently involved in this year's Masters wagering. Take a look at what bets are good and which are for suckers.
Are you in Vegas right now?
If so, keep reading. If not, keep reading.
There will be much wagering on the 2014 Masters -- likely more than all the other majors combined -- and I'm here to help.
Some bets I love and the ones you should stay very far away from. Remember, we're not trying to predict the future, just find some value in the market.
Let's get to it (all odds courtesy of Bovada).
Bets I love
1. Nick Watney to win (125-1): This is way, way too high. Yes, Watney has been injured of late but he's one of only seven golfers in the field to have made the cut in each of the last five Masters.
2. Fred Couples to finish in the top 20 (+350): One of only two guys to finish top 15 each of the last four years (Westwood).
3. Adam Scott or Rory McIlroy or Phil Mickelson to win (+330): Give me all of this one. I think Scott has a great chance to repeat and if not then I think McIlroy could win it. Mickelson as my safety net? I'll take that.
4. Harris English as top rookie (7-1): If you played this thing seven times I think English finishes as the best rookie more than one of those times. I also sort of like him to win it at 50-1.
5. Hideki Matsuyama to win (80-1): Not a sexy name but he's been lights out at majors recently. Top 20s in the last three last season including two top 10s.
6. Will Bubba Watson miss the cut? (Yes, +275): Of all the big boys he's the most volatile. And it's not like he's been supreme in majors since winning here. Two missed cuts and only one top 20 since that 2012 win.
7. Angel Cabrera to win (50-1): Why 50-1? Why?
8. Will there be a hole-in-one? (No, Even): Only 24 holes-in-one in 77 years. You can do the math on that.
9. Matt Kuchar to finish in the top 10 (+165): Coming off a third and eighth at Augusta and a pair of top fives in the last two weeks. I like.
Bets to avoid
1. Rory McIlroy as top European (9-4): But I thought you liked McIlroy? I do, but 9-4 is not a good bet with how many other great Europeans there are in the field.
2. Henrik Stenson or Graham DeLaet or Keegan Bradley or Sergio Garcia or Jordan Spieth to win (+650): It's so enticing at that number and those are some big names, but I don't see it happening. Sergio is the best bet and you want to put money on Sergio at a major? This is why Vegas builds large buildings.
3. Derek Ernst to win (1,000-1): I wouldn't put $1 on this at 100,000,000-1. Ernst doesn't have a top 25 since winning the Wells Fargo Championship last season.
4. A first round leader (any): Just don't even play with this. Your last five first-round leaders are Marc Leishman/Sergio Garcia, Lee Westwood, Rory McIlroy/Alvaro Quiros, Fred Couples, and Chad Campbell
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