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An AFC West battle is on tap between the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium. Las Vegas is 5-3 overall and 1-2 at home, while Denver is 3-5 overall and 2-2 on the road. The Raiders are seeking their third consecutive win. The Broncos have lost two of their past three games. 

Las Vegas is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Raiders vs. Broncos odds from William Hill Sportsbook. The over-under, or total number of points expected, is set at 50.5. Before entering any Broncos vs. Raiders picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 16-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 10 on an incredible 112-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raiders vs. Broncos. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Broncos vs. Raiders:

  • Raiders vs. Broncos spread: Raiders -3.5
  • Raiders vs. Broncos over-under: 50.5 points
  • Raiders vs. Broncos money line: Las Vegas -190, Denver +170

Why the Raiders can cover

The Raiders scored a 31-26 win over the Los Angeles Chargers this past Sunday. Derek Carr has two-plus TD passes in six of his past seven games. He passed for 391 yards and a TD vs. 0 INTs for a 97.3 rating in the last meeting with the Broncos. Carr has eight TDs vs. 0 INTs in his past eight games vs. Denver. He has seven TDs vs. one INT for a 108.7 rating in three home games this season.

Josh Jacobs rushed for 65 yards and a TD last week. He had 113 scrimmage yards (85 rushing) and two rushing TDs in the last home meeting with Denver, a 24-16 win on September 9 of 2019. Darren Waller had five catches and a TD in Week 9. He is aiming for his sixth game in a row with five-plus catches. Waller has a TD catch in three of his past four games. He had six catches for 107 yards in the last meeting. The Raiders lead the all-time series with the Broncos, 64-53-2. 

Why the Broncos can cover

Meanwhile, Denver came up short against the Atlanta Falcons this past Sunday, 34-27. Denver was down 27-6 at the end of the third quarter, but could not finish off a comeback attempt. Drew Lock passed for two TDs and a career-high 313 yards on 48 attempts in addition to rushing for one TD and 47 yards. Jerry Jeudy set career highs in catches (seven) and yards (125) and had a TD catch in Week 9. He has reached 70-plus receiving yards in each of his past two games. 

Phillip Lindsay has 75-plus scrimmage yards in three of his past four games. He has 50-plus scrimmage yards in his past four meetings with the Raiders. Melvin Gordon has scored in his past four matchups with the Raiders. He has 120-plus scrimmage yards in five of his past six vs. Raiders. Denver has beaten Jon Gruden 11 times in 14 matchups. The Broncos won the most recent meeting with the Raiders, 16-15 on December 29, 2019. 

How to make Broncos vs. Raiders picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Raiders vs. Broncos 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Broncos vs. Raiders? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Broncos vs. Raiders spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 10 of the NFL season on an incredible 112-74 roll.