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USATSI

A heated rivalry is set to renew on Sunday when the New Orleans Saints host the Atlanta Falcons for an NFC South battle. The Saints (5-2) are coming off an impressive 36-27 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. The Falcons (3-4), meanwhile, suffered a setback against the Carolina Panthers in their last outing. 

Kickoff from New Orleans is set for 1 p.m. ET. New Orleans is favored by 6.5-points in the latest Saints vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 42. Before entering any Falcons vs. Saints picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on top-rated NFL picks that date back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Falcons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Falcons vs. Saints:

  • Saints vs. Falcons spread: Saints -6.5
  • Saints vs. Falcons over-under: 42 points

What you need to know about the Falcons

Matt Ryan threw two interceptions with only 5.41 yards per attempt with one TD pass against Carolina as he was limited to 146 passing yards. The Falcons allowed the Panthers to rush for 203 yards. Atlanta managed only 213 yards of offense. Atlanta failed in its first attempt to go above .500 since 2017. 

The Falcons come into Week 9 with the second-fewest rushing touchdowns in the NFL, with only three on the season. Cordarrelle Patterson is one of four running backs with seven games of 60-plus scrimmage yards this season. Kyle Pitts ranks second among rookies in receiving yards (484). 

What you need to know about the Saints

The Saints have dominated this rivalry in recent years, winning six of their last seven meetings against the Falcons. That includes a dominant 24-9 win at home last November. Plus, New Orleans has one of the best home-field advantages in the entire NFL, winning eight of its last 11 games at home. 

The Saints enter Sunday's showdown giving up just 18.3 points per game this season. Linebacker Demario Davis is the engine of the defense, having recorded 53 total tackles and 3.0 sacks. Cornerback P.J. Williams is also having a solid season for the Saints. In fact, Williams ranks fourth in the NFL with three interceptions, one of which he returned for a touchdown. 

How to make Falcons vs. Saints picks

The model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Saints vs. Falcons? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.