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The Dallas Stars will try to stave off elimination when they host Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs Western Conference Final on Thursday. The Stars return to the Lone Star State in a 3-1 series hole, winning Game 1 of the WCF on home ice but struggling to score on Oilers goaltender Stuart Skinner in the following three matchups. Puck drop for Game 5 at American Airlines Center in Dallas is at 8 p.m. ET.

Dallas is a -129 favorite on the money line (risk $129 to win $100) in the latest Stars vs. Oilers odds, while Edmonton is a +109 underdog (risk $100 to win $109). The over/under for total goals scored is 6, after it was at 6.5 in Game 4, and the Stars are -1.5 (+191) on the puck line. Before making any Oilers vs. Stars picks, be sure to see the NHL predictions from SportsLine's proven model. You can also see the model's Stars vs. Oilers Game 5 picks. 

 The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. It enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2025 NHL playoffs a combined 80-56 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks, returning more than $1,600 for $100 players. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns. 

Here are three player props for Stars vs. Oilers on Thursday (odds subject to change):

  • Connor McDavid 2+ points (+105)
  • Jason Robertson over 1.5 shots on goal (-198)
  • Stuart Skinner over 24.5 saves (-135)

Connor McDavid 2+ points (+105)

No. 97 has registered two points each in three of this last four games. He remains the points leader in the 2025 NHL playoffs, registering 24 points (five goals, 19 assists) and a plus-11 in 24 games. McDavid to tally two or more points in Thursday's game is priced at +100 at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can get $300 in bonus bets on a winning $5 wager with the latest DraftKings promo code.

You've seen one of the best bets for Stars vs. Oilers on Thursday. Now, get picks for every game from the model that enters the second week of the 2025 NHL playoffs conference finals a combined 80-56 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks.

Jason Robertson over 1.5 shots on goal (-198)

The SportsLine projection model notes that Robertson is averaging 2.8 shots on goal per game in four of the last five games he has played "against teams with a middle third defense." He also tallied five SOG in Game 3 and four in Game 4. These NHL prop odds of -198 are a great value as some other betting sites have them at -225. You could use a FanDuel promo code where you can get $200 in bonus bets if your initial $5 bet wins.

Stuart Skinner over 24.5 saves (-135)

The Stars have peppered Stuart with shots in this series. After allowing five goals on 27 shots in Game 1, he registered a 25-save shutout in Game 2, made 33 saves in Game 3 and made 28 saves in Game 4. While the SportsLine model is leaning on under six goals to be scored in Game 5, Dallas is still expected to keep Skinner busy. This player prop is listed at -135 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Want more NHL picks for Thursday? Matt Severance is SportsLine's No. 1 NHL expert, posting a 145-69-8 roll on NHL sides picks, returning over $4,000 for $100 players. See his best bet for Thursday at SportsLine.