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The Green Bay Packers (1-0) and the Washington Commanders (1-0) square off in an NFC tilt on Thursday Night Football. The Commanders defeated the New York Giants 21-6 in an NFC East contest on Sunday. The Packers also won a divisional game, beating the Lions 27-13. Green Bay leads the all-time series 22-17-1 but Washington took down Green Bay 23-21 back in 2022 during their last outing. 

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The Packers are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Commanders vs. Packers odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. Before making any Commanders vs. Packers picks, make sure you check out the NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model is on a 33-17 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has zoned in on Commanders vs. Packers. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Packers:

Commanders vs. Packers spread

Packers -3.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Commanders vs. Packers over/under

48.5 points

Commanders vs. Packers money line

Green Bay -198, Washington +164


Here are SportsLine model's best bets for Commanders vs. Packers:

  • Packers -3.5
  • Over 48.5 points

Packers -3.5

The Packers covered the spread convincingly in Week 1, winning by 14 after being 1.5-point favorites over Detroit. Last season, Green Bay went 8-4 ATS in non-division games and went 6-3 as the home team. With the addition of Micah Parsons, the Packers' defense held the potent Lions offense to 13 points and 246 total yards of offense. The model predicts that the Packers (-3.5) will cover the spread in 64% of simulations on Thursday. 

Over 48.5 points

These teams were able to find the end zone multiple times in Week 1, as each team tallied 21-plus points. With one regular season under their belts, expect the offenses to have more rhythm and flow. Washington racked up 432 total yards of offense and 6.6 yards per play in their opener. Meanwhile, the Packers had 266 total yards but averaged 5.7 yards per play. In 2024, these two teams finished in the top eight in scoring offenses, averaging at least 27 points per game. The Over hits in 53% of simulations, according to the SportsLine Projection Model.

Want more Week 2 NFL picks?

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Also at SportsLine:

You can also see Week 2 picks from NFL insider Emory Hunt, who is 45-24-1 in his last 70 NFL picks. See his Week 1 NFL best bets right here.