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Inside the Lines team

The SportsLine Projection Model was developed and powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can visit SportsLine for our model's main market bets (spread, total, money line) but if you are looking for ALL our personal best bets for free, check out our recently launched Inside the Lines blog. 

What makes Inside the Lines unique is our hyper focus on shopping lines and finding the best available price for any bet. You'll find that the extra 0.5 a point or 15 money line units over a large sample size of bets can reduce the level of accuracy needed to turn a profit. 

In the world of a standard 52.4% breakeven on spreads at -110, you can go 524-476 and turn a 0.4-unit profit. If you shop lines effectively and can get yourself the average of -105, you can go 51.4% (514-486) and turn a +3.7 unit profit. That's where we come in.

Best Priced Moneyline Parlay for Week 4 College Football

We are using our proprietary model to calculate the money lines where each major sportsbook has the best price, identifying the 3 where they have the most value vs the other books (vs worst priced sportsbook in parentheses) and creating a best priced College Football Moneyline Parlay for you.

FanDuel +498

  1. Utah -144 Over Iowa (-165 BetRivers)
  2. Louisiana Tech -154 over Southern Miss (-170 Caesars)
  3. Arizona State +114 over Baylor (+105 BetRivers)

This parlay only pays off +423 based on the worst prices. Utah has a 58% chance, Louisiana Tech a 65% chance, and Arizona State a 47% chance. Our Inside the Lines book would only offer +464 so this is a very good betting value. Thank you FanDuel.

BetMGM +597

  1. Baylor -125 over Arizona State (-137 on FanDuel)
  2. Fresno State -125 over Hawaii (-139 on BetRivers)
  3. Charlotte +115 over Rice (+102 on BetRivers)

This parlay pays off nearly +100 more units than it would on the worst priced lines. Our model has Baylor at 53%, Fresno State at 71% and Charlotte at 37% to win. Our Inside the Lines sportsbook would pay off +618 so we do not consider this a great value, mostly because we are on Rice to win by 6 points. But if you are fading Rice then this is a good value.

Caesars +622

  1. Texas Tech +135 over Utah (+120 on FanDuel)
  2. Eastern Michigan +118 over Louisiana (+110 BetMGM)
  3. UCF -244 Over North Carolina (-250 on BetMGM)

This +622 Caesars money line parlay only pays of +547 if you were to get the worst prices. We have Texas Tech at 42%, Eastern Michigan 25%, and UCF 48% so our parlay number would be +1884. We recommend staying away from this one.

DraftKings +827

  1. Hawaii +114 over Fresno St (+105 BetMGM)
  2. North Carolina State +145 over Duke (+120 BetRivers)
  3. North Texas -130 over Army (-141 BetRivers)

This parlay paying off +827 only would payoff +697 on the worst prices. Hawaii is winning just 29% of sims, NCST 35% and North Texas 48% so again we'd offer close to +2000 on this one so not a good value based on our model projections.  

Fanatics +961

  1. Texas Tech +135 over Utah (+120 on FanDuel)
  2. Miami Ohio +110 over UNLV (+106 on FanDuel)
  3. Nebraska +115 over Michigan (+112 on FanDuel)

We have a Fan(atics) vs Fan(duel) best vs worst price duel going here. Fanatics is paying off +100 over what FanDuel's +861 pays off.  At 42% for Texas Tech, 30% for Miami (OH), and 35% for Nebraska we only give this a 4.4% chance of hitting which is the equivalent of a +2168 parlay. Not a good value.