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A trip to the Sweet 16 is on the line when the No. 3 seed Baylor Bears square off against the No. 6 seed Clemson Tigers in the 2024 NCAA Tournament on Sunday. The winner of this game advances to play the Arizona Wildcats on Thursday. Clemson has made the Sweet 16 three times in school history with the last coming in 2018. Baylor won the national championship in 2021 and the Bears are looking to make another deep run this season.

Tipoff from the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn., is set for 6:10 p.m. ET. Baylor is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Clemson vs. Baylor odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 145. Before making any Baylor vs. Clemson picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Baylor vs. Clemson. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Clemson vs. Baylor:

  • Clemson vs. Baylor spread: Baylor -4.5
  • Clemson vs. Baylor over/under: 145 points 
  • Clemson vs. Baylor money line: Bears -197, Tigers +162
  • CLEM: Clemson is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games in March 
  • BAY: Baylor is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games 
  • Clemson vs. Baylor picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Clemson can cover 

Senior guard Joseph Girard III gives the Tigers an agile but skilled scorer. Girard III has a smooth jumper and thrives in those catch-and-shoot scenarios. The New York native averages 15.4 points and 2.8 assists, while making 41% of his 3-pointers. On March 9 against Wake Forest, Girard III finished with 13 points, seven rebounds, and three 3-pointers.

Senior guard Chase Hunter is able to change the pace for Clemson. Hunter does the most damage when he gets into the lane and absorbs contact when needed. He averages 12.5 points and three assists per game. In the first-round win over New Mexico, Hunter stuffed the stat sheet with 21 points, six rebounds, and two steals. See which team to pick at SportsLine. 

Why Baylor can cover

Freshman guard Ja'kobe Walter gives the Bears a shifty ball handler with good handles and acceleration to blow past defenders. The Texas native uses his quickness to create space along with a smooth jumper. He averages a team-high 14.4 points with 4.4 rebounds per contest. In the first-round win over Colgate, Walter had 19 points and four rebounds.

Senior forward Jalen Bridges is an athletic force with good versatility. Bridges has a reliable jumper while being a relentless defender. The West Virginia native logs 12.2 points and 5.7 rebounds while shooting 41% from beyond the arc. In Friday's victory over Colgate, he notched 23 points and five rebounds while knocking down five 3-pointers. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

How to make Clemson vs. Baylor picks

The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 153 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Baylor vs. Clemson, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is 29-19 on top-rated college basketball spread picks this season.