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The No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide will try to avoid a letdown in a potential trap game when they host the No. 21 Arkansas Razorbacks in the SEC on CBS game on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. The Crimson Tide (9-1, 5-1 in SEC) square off against Arkansas knowing that their annual Iron Bowl showdown against hated rival Auburn looms next week. Alabama still needs one victory to win the SEC West and clinch a spot in the SEC Championship Game against No. 1 Georgia. Meanwhile the Razorbacks (7-3, 3-3) are riding a three-game winning streak entering Saturday's game. 

Kickoff is 3:30 p.m. ET. The Crimson Tide are 20.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 58.5. Before making any Arkansas vs. Alabama picks or college football predictions, make sure you check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on a 36-23 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Alabama vs. Arkansas and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model's college football picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for Arkansas vs. Alabama:  

  • Alabama vs. Arkansas spread: Crimson Tide -20.5
  • Alabama vs. Arkansas over-under: 58.5 points 
  • Alabama vs. Arkansas money line: Crimson Tide -1600, Razorbacks +850
  • ALA: The Tide rank third in the country in scoring offense (44.6 points per game) 
  • ARK: The Razorbacks average 233.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks sixth in the nation

Why the Crimson Tide can cover

Alabama has an explosive receiving threat in Jameson Williams. The transfer from Ohio State leads the team in receiving yards (1,028) and receiving touchdowns (10). After his performance against New Mexico State last week, Williams ranks second in the SEC and 13th nationally in yards per reception (20.16). He has eight receptions of 50 yards or more in 2021, with seven of those eight plays resulting in a touchdown.

In addition, the Crimson Tide have dominated the series against Arkansas recently. Alabama has won 14 straight against the Razorbacks, including a 52-3 win in Fayetteville last year, and has not lost to Arkansas since 2006. The Tide's average margin of victory during the streak is 27.6 points a game. 

Why the Razorbacks can cover

Arkansas has a NFL-caliber receiver in Treylon Burks. Widely considered one of the top receivers available in next year's NFL Draft, Burks leads the team with 51 catches for 796 yards and eight touchdowns this season, catching 33.3 percent of the Razorbacks' total completed passes (153). The 6-foot-3, 225-pound junior from Warren, Ark., has a reception in all 30 games he has played in his career.

In addition, the defense has a playmaking linebacker in Bumper Pool. The 6-foot-2, 230-pound senior leads the team in total tackles (100), including a team-best 7.5 tackles for loss. He also has the second most total tackles (295) among all FBS defenders since 2019.

How to make Alabama vs. Arkansas picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting that the teams will combine for 59 points. It also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Arkansas vs. Alabama pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. Arkansas? And which side is covering more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Arkansas vs. Alabama spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 36-23 run on top-rated picks, and find out.