Free MLB home run picks, odds, lines for July 9: Jazz Chisholm among best bets for Wednesday HR player props
SportsLine's model is up 28.3 units on HR picks this season. Use its MLB picks for MLB sportsbook promotions like MLB profit boosts
Yankee Stadium is a left-handed power-hitters paradise and Jazz Chisholm's power has certainly played up since he's donned the pinstripes. Chisholm has 26 home runs in just 391 at-bats since joining the New York Yankees at the MLB trade deadline last season, and he'll draw a favorable lefty vs. righty matchup on a warm day in the Bronx on Wednesday. The latest MLB HR odds from BetMGM have Chisholm listed at +375 to go yard, and that's more than enough value to list him as one of our top MLB HR picks today.
New users can also bet Chisholm to homer or play our MLB HR parlay on Wednesday with some added insurance, as the latest BetMGM promo code offers up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB home run picks on betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 28.3 units on its MLB HR picks this season. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Wednesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Wednesday, July 9:
- Jazz Chisholm, Yankees (+375)
- Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (+400)
- Wilyer Abreu, Red Sox (+450)
- Parlay these picks for +12963 odds at BetMGM (odds subject to change)
Jazz Chisholm, Yankees (+375)
Chisholm has hit 14 of his 15 home runs against right-handed pitching, and he is facing a rookie RHP, Logan Evans, today. In four road starts, Evans has allowed opponents to bat .330 with a .917 OPS compared to just .171 with a .570 OPS at home.
"Chisholm has been a completely different hitter at Yankee Stadium compared to when he is on the road. At home, Chisholm is hitting .310 with 11 HRs, and on the road, Chisholm is hitting .172 with four home runs. Having the short porch in right field definitely helps as well," SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. "We set Chisholm's line at +325 to homer." BetMGM has the best price here.
Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (+400)
Schwarber launched his 28th homer of the year into McCovey Cove yesterday in San Francisco and he has three home runs and three doubles already in the month of July. It will be a cool day at Oracle Park on Wednesday, but there will be a breeze blowing out to straightaway center and this is a solid matchup.
"Schwarber is 2-for-9 with a HR in his career against Justin Verlander, but this bet is more about Verlander's last few outings. In the last month, opponents are hitting .308 against the future Hall of Famer Verlander," Fetner said. "We set the line at +322 for Schwarber to homer." BetMGM has the best price here but you can also find him at +390 on bet365, where you can also get $150 in bonus bets after your first $5 wager with this bet365 promo code.
Wilyer Abreu, Red Sox (+450)
He's still platooning almost exclusively against right-handed pitching, but he's a dynamic bat whenever he's in the lineup and he's red-hot right now. He has multiple hits in four of the last seven games where he's started and has also hit four homers during that span.
"Abreu has 17 HRs on the season and 16 of them have come against RHPs," Fetner said. "Rockies' SP Antonio Senzatela leads the league in hits allowed and losses (12) this season, so he is very susceptible to getting hit hard." The model sets the line at +320 for Abreu to homer, so this is another exceptional value from BetMGM.
Where to bet MLB props on Wednesday
Here is a look at sportsbooks that will offer MLB player props on Wednesday:
| Sportsbook | Bonus offer | Promo code |
|---|---|---|
CBSDYW | ||
BetMGM | Up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses | CBSSPORTS |
Just click here | ||
Just click here | ||
No code required | ||
bet365 | Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets win or lose | CBSBET365 |
More MLB picks for Wednesday
You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Wednesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Matt Severance, who is on a 42-17 roll (+1010.75) on MLB ATS picks.
