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USATSI

The San Antonio Spurs (11-48) will try to snap their five-game losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (4-17) on Thursday night. San Antonio's latest loss came in a 114-105 final at Minnesota on Tuesday, wrapping up a nine-game road trip. Oklahoma City has rattled off six consecutive victories, including a 112-95 win over Houston on Tuesday. The Thunder are in second place in the Western Conference standings, sitting a half-game behind the first-place Timberwolves. 

Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at Frost Bank Center. The Thunder are favored by 11 points in the latest Spurs vs. Thunder odds, while the over/under is 237 points via SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Thunder vs. Spurs picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 63-39 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Oklahoma City vs. San Antonio. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

  • Spurs vs. Thunder spread: Spurs +11
  • Spurs vs. Thunder over/under: 237 points
  • Spurs vs. Thunder money line: Spurs: +428, Thunder: -587
  • Spurs vs. Thunder picks: See picks here

Why the Spurs can cover

San Antonio will be excited to play in front of its home fans for the first time since Feb. 3 after wrapping up a nine-game road trip on Tuesday. The Spurs covered the spread as 12.5-point underdogs in that game, as shooting guard Devin Vassell scored 21 points on 9 of 18 shooting. Star rookie center Victor Wembanyama added 17 points, 13 rebounds and five assists in a double-double effort. 

Wembanyama leads San Antonio with 20.6 points and 10.2 rebounds per game, posting four straight double-doubles. Vassell is adding 19.1 points and 3.8 assists per game, while Keldon Johnson is averaging 15.9 points per game. The Spurs have covered the spread in four of their last six games, and they are used to playing as heavy underdogs. 

Why the Thunder can cover

Oklahoma City has been one of the best teams in the NBA this season and it is one of the hottest teams in the league heading into this matchup. The Thunder have won and covered the spread in six consecutive games and they have won five straight meetings between these teams. They beat Houston in a 112-95 final on Tuesday to complete a sweep of the home-and-home series over three nights. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 31 points, leading his team on a run late in the third quarter to take control of the game. Jalen Williams added 24 points, while Chet Holmgren posted a double-double with 18 points and 13 rebounds. Oklahoma City beat San Antonio by 36 points at home in November and by 26 points on the road in January. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Spurs vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Spurs 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Spurs vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Spurs spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 63-39 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.