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  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    Contrarian with Chutzpah
    player headshot
    W. Abreu
    Over 1.5
    +122
    Bases
    WIN
    Picked: May 2 @ 2:47pm

    Analysis

    Spencer Arrighetti throughout his career has had issues on the road. Look for that to arise on the road today against a Red Sox team working their way through early season struggles, and the firing of Alex Cora. Wilyer Abreu has had multi hit games in four out of his last seven, and is still aiming to get his first home run of the season at Fenway Park.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    Contrarian with Chutzpah
    player headshot
    W. Abreu
    YES
    +440
    Hit A Home Run
    LOSS
    Picked: May 2 @ 2:48pm

    Analysis

    Spencer Arrighetti throughout his career has had issues on the road. Look for that to arise on the road today against a Red Sox team working their way through early season struggles, and the firing of Alex Cora. Wilyer Abreu has had multi hit games in four out of his last seven, and is still aiming to get his first home run of the season at Fenway Park. Combo play with a sprinkle on Abreu hitting a home run.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    Contrarian with Chutzpah
    player headshot
    C. Rafaela
    Over 1.5
    +136
    Bases
    LOSS
    Picked: May 2 @ 2:49pm

    Analysis

    A player that has loved Saturday’s on the schedule is Ceddane Rafaela of the Boston Red Sox. He has cleared either his total bases or hits, runs, rbi prop each Saturday on the season. This includes his only three hit game of the year last Saturday against the Orioles. Look for more team success from the Red Sox today, as their only runs generated Friday were off a three run homer from Jarren Duran. Play Rafaela’s over total bases or hits/runs/rbi combo offering.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    Doug
    player headshot
    D. Cease
    Under 17.5
    -137
    Outs Recorded
    LOSS
    Picked: May 2 @ 10:22am

    Analysis

    Caesar’s / MGM. As solid as Dylan Cease has been in his first season as a Blue Jay (2.87 ERA and 3.25 xERA), he has only finished 6 innings in one of his six starts. He’s highly inefficient with his pitch count, needing 4.36 per plate appearance, which is the most amongst qualifiers. He’ll face a patient Twins lineup that sees the 11th most pitches per plate appearance, draws the fifth highest walk rate, and has the ninth lowest chase rate. If they can string together anything offensively, keeping Cease under this line should be no issue. I’d bet this down to under 16.5 outs for a partial unit.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1314
    (75%)
    43-14 in Last 57 MLB ML Picks
    NYY
    -150
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: May 2 @ 6:02am

    Analysis

    Can't say I like this as much as I did yesterday's game, but Orioles starter Kyle Bradish has not been sharp this season. Consider a Ben Rice Over 1.5 total bases prop (3-for-5 with a dinger off Bradish career). What I may do is have a little fun and play this with a Kentucky Derby choice -- and it won't be favored Renegade on the post. The betting favorite on race day hasn’t won at Churchill Downs since 2018 (Justify). I like Further Ado at 6/1. There is my horse racing knowledge for 2026, but you will definitely want to read our picks from the excellent Gene Menez, Jeff Hochman and others for that. They seem to win every year.

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