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The New York Yankees have slid from atop the American League East to holding a Wild Card spot, and they picked up a much-needed 7-5 win over the Tampa Bay Rays after rallying from a 3-0 deficit. New York enters Wednesday 4.5 games behind the Toronto Blue Jays, who just dropped three of four to the Baltimore Orioles, in the AL East standings. The Yankees and Rays play the third game of a four-game set Wednesday, July 30 at 7:05 p.m. ET. The game will air on MLB Network and Prime Video.

Baseball fans looking to get into MLB betting at the top sportsbooks can get the latest Rays vs. Yankees predictions and player props from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times. 

Rookie right-hander Will Warren (6-5, 4.82 ERA) starts for the Yankees while the Rays counter with veteran right-hander Zack Littell (8-8, 3.72 ERA). Warren's been very good of late, allowing no more than two earned runs in three of his past four starts. Littell is coming off a rough showing as he gave up five earned runs and 10 hits in six innings against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday. 

Both starting pitchers' strikeout props at FanDuel Sportsbook are at 4.5, with Warren's Over favored at -166 and Littell's Under favored at -516. The SportsLine Projection Model is strongly suggesting to back Warren's Over, awarding it 4.5/5 stars with a projection of 5.7 strikeouts. Littell Over 4.5 punchouts (+123) has been issued 4 stars, as he's been calculated for 4.8 strikeouts.

Cody Bellinger and Anthony Volpe homered for the Yankees on Tuesday and they are +310 and +600, respectively, to homer again on Wednesday. Bellinger has hit eight home runs in July, his most in any month in his first campaign as Yankee. Giancarlo Stanton has the shortest odds of any player in this contest to homer at +220, while Jonathan Aranda, who hit his 12th homer of the season yesterday, has the lowest odds of any Rays player at +340.

The Yankees are -135 favorites (wager $135 to win $100) in the latest SportsLine consensus odds, while the Rays are +114 (wager $100 to win $114) underdogs. The total is at 9, with the Over and Under each priced at -110. You can find the model's latest projections and expert picks for Rays-Yankees at SportsLine.

Here are the SportsLine model's projections for Rays vs. Yankees on Wednesday.

TAMPA BAY RAYS at NEW YORK YANKEES | 7/30 | 7:05 p.m. ET

Money line
Pick: Rays +114
Tampa Bay wins in 45% of simulations, bringing value at these odds

Run line
Pick: Rays +1.5 (-175)
Tampa Bay covers in 67% of simulations, bringing value at these odds

Over/Under
Pick: Over 9 (-110)
The Over hits in 48.4% of simulations

Projected score: Yankees 4.9, Rays 4.8