Creighton vs. Georgetown odds: 2021 Big East Tournament championship picks, predictions from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated Georgetown vs. Creighton 10,000 times

Patrick Ewing and the Georgetown Hoyas (12-12) are one of the best college basketball stories in March. Georgetown is 3-0 during the Big East Tournament, defeating Marquette, Villanova and Seton Hall in consecutive days, and the Hoyas are one more victory away from the 2021 NCAA Tournament. Georgetown will be challenged, however, as the Hoyas face the Creighton Bluejays in the 2021 Big East Tournament championship on Saturday. Creighton is 20-7 overall and 16-6 against Big East foes this season, including wins over Butler and UConn in the last two days.

Tip-off is 6:30 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden. The latest Creighton vs. Georgetown odds list the Bluejays as 8.5-point favorites. The over-under for total points is set at 143. Before making any Georgetown vs. Creighton picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $400 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Creighton vs. Georgetown in the Big East Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Georgetown vs. Creighton:

• Creighton vs. Georgetown spread: Creighton -8.5
• Creighton vs. Georgetown over-under: 143 points
• Creighton vs. Georgetown money line: Creighton -420; Georgetown +320
• CRE: The Bluejays are 6-2 against the spread in the last eight games
• GTWN: The Hoyas are 7-2 against the spread in the last nine games

Why Creighton can cover 

The Bluejays are led by junior guard Marcus Zegarowski, who projects as the best player on the floor during the final. Zegarowski is averaging 15.4 points and 4.4 assists per game this season, and he converts 40.4 percent of his 3-point attempts. He also has a knack for big moments, and Zegarowski is a first team All-Big East selection for the 2020-21 season. Overall, Creighton is a tremendous team on both ends of the floor, including a top-12 national mark in adjusted offensive efficiency (117.0). The Bluejays are the better team on paper, and some of that has to do with Georgetown's deficiencies. 

The Hoyas turn the ball over on 21.8 percent of offensive possessions, which is a bottom-tier figure nationally, and Georgetown lands outside the top 300 nationally in 2-point shooting, converting just 45.9 percent of attempts. On the other end, the Hoyas are second-worst in the Big East in adjusted defensive efficiency, making it difficult to slow Creighton's explosive offense. 

Why Georgetown can cover

The Hoyas are playing extremely well, and their season is on the line since they need to win this game to advance to the NCAA Tournament. Georgetown leads the Big East in 3-point shooting, converting 37.6 percent of its long-range attempts during conference play. The Hoyas are also shooting a robust 78.1 percent from the free-throw line against Big East foes, and Georgetown is No. 2 in the conference in offensive rebounding, grabbing 32.5 percent of its own missed shots. 

On the defensive end, the Hoyas land in the top-five among Big East teams in shooting efficiency allowed, free-throw rate allowed and block rate. In fact, Georgetown lands within the top tier of the country in preventing opponents from getting to the charity stripe, which could be pivotal within the confines of a title game. Beyond the numbers, Georgetown is 7-2 in the last nine games, and the Hoyas are clearly operating at a level that doesn't align with a 12-12 overall record as they look to steal an NCAA Tournament bid.

How to make Georgetown vs. Creighton picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 148 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Georgetown vs. Creighton? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.