The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Golden State Warriors at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday at the Chase Center. Golden State is 3-14 overall and 1-6 at home, while Oklahoma City is 5-10 overall and 0-6 on the road. The Thunder have lost three in a row by a total of 10 points. The Warriors have fallen from the NBA Finals last year to having the NBA's worst record so far. Oklahoma City is favored by five points in the latest Warriors vs. Thunder odds, while the over-under is set at 215.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

This model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and anyone who followed it last season saw massive returns, finishing 300-252 on all its top-rated NBA picks. On top-rated NBA picks against the spread and on the money line alone, the model returned a whopping $4,280 last season. It's off to a profitable start on all-top rated picks again this season, and entered Week 5 of the 2019-20 NBA season on a 9-4 run on all top-rated NBA against the spread picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated Warriors vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Golden State fell 113-109 to Utah on Friday. Alec Burks led a thinned Warriors squad with 20 points. He has led the team in scoring in three of the past five games. 

D'Angelo Russell is not expected to play because of a thumb injury, and Draymond Green is also expected to sit out with a variety of health issues. The Warriors were only able to have eight players available in their past two games and that may be the case tonight as they continue to deal with injury problems. 

Oklahoma City dropped a 130-127 to the Lakers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Steven Adams were two standouts  for the Thunder despite the loss. The former had 24 points along with seven rebounds, while the latter had 22 points in addition to six boards.

The Thunder won the first meeting between these teams On Oct. 27, as Dennis Schroder led Oklahoma City with 22 points. The Thunder are one of two NBA teams that have yet to win a road game. 

So who wins Thunder vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Thunder vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.