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USATSI

The Golden State Warriors (35-32) will aim for their first home victory since March 6 when they face the Memphis Grizzlies (23-46) on Wednesday night. Golden State wrapped up a three-game road trip with a 128-121 win over the Lakers on Saturday, but it returned home with a loss to New York on Monday night. Memphis is on a three-game losing streak and has lost five of its last six games, including a 121-111 overtime setback at Sacramento on Monday. This is the first meeting between these teams since Golden State notched a 121-101 road win at Memphis on Feb. 2. 

Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State is favored by 11 points in the latest Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds, while the over/under is 218.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 74-48 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Golden State vs. Memphis. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread: Warriors -11
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies over/under: 218.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies money line: Warriors: -586, Grizzlies: +429
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State won two of its three games on its road trip last week, beating the Spurs and Lakers after losing three of its previous four games. Power forward Jonathan Kuminga had 22 points and five rebounds against San Antonio, while rookie center Trayce Jackson-Davis added a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds off the bench. Stephen Curry missed that contest during a three-game absence (ankle), but he returned to the lineup against Los Angeles on Saturday. 

Curry had 31 points, six rebounds and five assists, shooting 12 of 24 from the floor, while veteran Klay Thompson added 26 points off the bench. Veteran forward Draymond Green filled up the stat sheet with six points, 12 rebounds and 13 assists. The Warriors have won six consecutive home games against the Grizzlies, who are winless in their last seven games against Western Conference opponents. Green (back) is questionable for Wednesday. See which team to pick here.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

While Golden State has won most of the recent meetings between these teams, the Warriors have not been the profitable team to bet on in this head-to-head series. Memphis has covered the spread in four of the last five games, including an outright win as a 7.5-point underdog in January. The Grizzlies covered the spread as 11.5-point underdogs in a 121-111 overtime loss to Sacramento on Monday, as Jaren Jackson Jr. had 25 points. 

It was a balanced effort for Memphis, with shooting guard Desmond Bane scoring 24 points and power forward Gregory Jackson II adding 22 points. Bane leads the Grizzlies with 24.4 points, 5.3 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game, while Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.4 points. Golden State has only covered the spread twice in its last six games, including once in its last five home games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks

The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Grizzlies, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 74-48 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.