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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    EC
    player headshot
    Y. Diaz
    Over 1.5
    +138
    Bases
    Picked: Oct 19 @ 12:37am

    Analysis

    I'm just not sure the Guardians will have an answer for Yandy Diaz in this series. Through five games, Diaz has recorded eight hits, including three multi-hit games. The Rays leadoff hitter has also recorded an extra base hit in 4 of the 5 games. With a bullpen game on tap for Cleveland in Game 6, I think the free swinging Diaz posts at least another extra base hit, if not multiple hits, as he leads the Rays to the World Series.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +2195
    (68%)
    52-24 in Last 76 MLB Picks
    Under 6.5
    -105
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 19 @ 9:45am

    Analysis

    Only twice all series has either team managed more than three runs. The Guardians’ bats have fallen silent and the Rays have a .511 postseason OPS vs. right-handers, plus a .587 OPS at home. Rays starter Freddy Peralta has been elite in the playoffs, and Guardians likely starter Tanner Bibee had two solid starts vs. Tampa in the regular season. Both teams have bullpens with playoffs ERAs under 3.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +292.5
    (55%)
    33-27 in Last 60 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    F. Peralta
    Over 14.5
    +113
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Oct 19 @ 9:50am

    Analysis

    Shop around because there is +135 available as the market is moving between 13.5 and 14.5 outs. Freddy Peralta went six shutout innings last time out against Cleveland at home, so I'll back him at plus money to finish five innings and show us something similar tonight. The Rays are up 3-2 and need to avoid seeing Gavin Williams in Game seven, but I think they only burn the bullpen early if Freddy is really struggling. The Rays have "long relievers" available but the underbelly of their bullpen has been a weakness. This is the last appearance for Peralta, and Kevin Cash saw the formula work last night of sticking with his starter and deploying only the best bullpen arms when needed.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Snyder
    +304
    (54%)
    15-13 in Last 28 MLB Picks
    TB -1.5
    +152
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 19 @ 11:55am

    Analysis

    The pitching matchup heavily favors the Rays as Freddy Peralta has been dazzling since making adjustments with the Rays after the trade deadline. Plus, the Rays are feeling good vibes and coming home to close it out. The most likely scenario here is a multi-run Rays win, so I love the plus money.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Snyder
    +146
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    F. Peralta
    Over 4.5
    +128
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    Picked: Oct 19 @ 11:58am

    Analysis

    The Guardians don't strike out a ton, but this is a small number. Freddy Peralta has been dominant for weeks, and I expect him to go 5-6 innings here with a strikeout per inning. I love the plus money.

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