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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1135.5
    (69%)
    34-15 in Last 49 NCAAF Picks
    PITT
    -162
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 8 @ 5:04pm

    Analysis

    Good for Florida State for winning at Boston College on Saturday, when no one would have blamed the Noles if they had mailed it in. But B.C. is no good. Pitt is solid and comes off a bye week. Tough ask for FSU, which lost its starting center to injury against the Eagles, on a short-week Friday, going back to the Northeast on what will be a cold night in Pittsburgh in the Panthers' home finale. I expect this to only rise, which is why I'm grabbing it now.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    +238
    (56%)
    28-22 in Last 50 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Jaquez Jr.
    Over 13.5
    -101
    Points
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 8:54am

    Analysis

    Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.1 points per game for the season. He was moved to the bench in the Bucks’ last game, but he still played 30 minutes and scored 25 points against the Lakers. He is having an efficient season, shooting 47.6% from the field and 40.4% from three. Regardless if he starts or comes off the bench, I expect Jaquez to play between 25 and 30 minutes and receive plenty of shot attempts. That puts him in a favorable position to score at least 14 points against a Magic team that ranks 21st in defensive rating.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +9
    (63%)
    5-3 in Last 8 NCAAB Picks
    UNC
    -188
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 9:06am

    Analysis

    Cost myself a bit more than 20 cents waiting on this one to drop (other way) so will have to up the wager. I'm sure Georgia is a solid team but winning in Chapel Hill? The Dawgs haven't left home yet or played anyone. They are led by the excellently named 1980s detective Blue Cain (16.0 PPG). I need to see a Colt Seavers/Blue Cain crossover event. Hard to know exactly what the Heels are in a bit of a transition season under Mike Malone but still plenty of 5-star talent on the roster. Not a title contender, though. KenPom ranks the Heels 21 spots higher and it is a true home game.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +276
    (71%)
    5-2 in Last 7 NBA Picks
    MIA -1.5
    -118
    Spread
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 12:09am

    Analysis

    The Cavs are coming off a statement win at Madison Square Garden, but they are vulnerable inside Friday due to Evan Mobley's absence. Giannis Antetokounmpo has shot over 50 percent in three straight games and is averaging 27.7 points and 12.6 rebounds. He and Bam Adebayo should excel for the Heat, who are 5-2 after an 0-4 start. Lay the small number with improving Miami.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    +238
    (56%)
    28-22 in Last 50 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Daniels
    Over 12.5
    -116
    REB + AST
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 9:00am

    Analysis

    Dyson Daniels’ contributions go way beyond the scoring column. Last season, he averaged 6.8 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. He has provided much of the same this season and has been especially hot in both departments lately, averaging 10.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists across his last five games. The Hawks and Bulls are the top two teams in the NBA in pace of play. The Bulls allow the most assists per game and the second-most rebounds per game. While there is blowout potential here, I’ll risk that Daniels plays long enough to hit this over.

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