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Prop Bet Guy
Doug
NBA
WAS @ CHA • Mon 7:00pm
T. Young
Over 30.5
-121
PTS + AST
Picked: Oct 26 @ 9:55am
Analysis
DraftKings (1.5u). Trae Young has cleared this line in three straight games, averaging 13.7 FGA, 11 FTA, and 20 potential assists. He’ll face a Hornets team devoid of backcourt defenders to slow him down. Young is serving as the catalyst for the Wizards, as the team is fully enabling him à la his Hawks days. This is a line that the point guard has hit at a 72% clip over the last three seasons when playing at least 28 minutes.
Micah Roberts
#4
+1245
(55%)
47-38-3 in Last 88 MLB Picks
MLB
MIL @ TB • Mon 8:00pm
TB
-118
Money Line
Picked: Oct 25 @ 3:47pm
Analysis
The World Series moves to Tampa Bay with the Brewers winning the first two games in Milwaukee by one run each. In Game 3, I'm expecting the Rays to give a maximum effort, fighting with all they have to stay alive in this series. This is the pressure game that they know they have to win, and I like that with my bet. All the cards are on the table. The Rays have a tough task ahead of them with left-hander Robert Gasser pitching, who the Brewers have won his last four starts with him only allowing only two runs. Former Brewer Freddy Peralta has been his old dominant self for the Rays. They’ve gone 10-0 in his last 10 appearances. Rays win Game 3.
Angelo Magliocca
+36
(50%)
3-3 in Last 6 MLB Team Props Picks
MLB
MIL @ TB • Mon 8:00pm
Milwaukee
Over 3.5
-102
Runs
Picked: Oct 25 @ 10:18pm
Analysis
The Brewers will have nine at bats against the Rays pitching staff and starter Freddy Peralta as the away team in Game three of the World Series. Milwaukee's offense has been relentless thus far in the postseason, leading nearly all offensive categories and most recently showing no panic when coming back from down four runs to win a couple nights ago. Freddy Peralta should be fastball heavy, a pitch that this Brewers lineup was solid against this year, and the changeup has not fooled them either. With a 2-0 lead in the series, all the pressure is off Milwaukee, so they can swing free and easy, be relaxed, and continue scoring some runs.
Larry Hartstein
+1013
(61%)
33-21 in Last 54 PHO ATS Picks
NBA
PHO @ OKC • Mon 8:00pm
PHO +10.5
-112
Spread
Picked: Oct 26 @ 9:15am
Analysis
This is a big number for OKC to be laying on the second night of a back-to-back. Jalen Williams suffered a severe leg injury in Sunday's win over the Clippers, while fellow starter Cason Wallace left with a shoulder injury. Look for Devin Booker, who's coming off a 43-point outburst Saturday and has gotten to the foul line 17 times in two games, to lead the way as the Suns keep it respectable.
Prop Bet Guy
#2
+2683
(60%)
144-97 in Last 241 MLB Player Props Picks
MLB
MIL @ TB • Mon 8:00pm
F. Peralta
Under 4.5
+107
Pitcher Strikeouts
Picked: Oct 26 @ 10:02am
Analysis
DraftKings. This is a line that Freddy Peralta has stayed under in 8/13 starts since coming over to the Rays. The team has upped his changeup usage at the expense of his breaking balls which has helped his effectiveness but reduced his whiff rate. The Brewers do not swing and miss much as is, and will also grind out at bats against Peralta, who notoriously is inefficient with his pitch counts (4.1 pitches per plate appearance). With the Rays down 2-0, he’ll also be on a short leash, meaning the bullpen will be in play at any moment. There’s plenty of value here at plus/short odds.