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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +686.5
    (68%)
    23-11 in Last 34 NHL Picks
    Under 7
    -133
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 29 @ 7:54am

    Analysis

    Wow, a 7 and it's not involving the Avalanche or Oilers. Both these clubs are pretty solid offensively but not world-changing. My one concern is that it might be Mammoth backup Sebastian Cossa's turn and he has a 3.21 GAA. But let's hope not. Doesn't much matter who is in net for the Pens -- probably Arturs Silovs and his 2.88 G AA -- as they are pretty thin at forward due to injury, etc., although Sidney Crosby is fine. The model has 6.7 goals scored and I'm fully prepared to push at a 3-3 regulation draw.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +752.5
    (68%)
    28-13 in Last 41 NCAAF Picks
    Under 76.5
    -112
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 11:15am

    Analysis

    Wowzers, a total of 76.5 -- that's the highest of the season by far in college football. And I guess I get it as North Texas comes off an 88-total point game vs. Navy and had an 89-point total game a few weeks ago at Tulsa. FAU has that beat, coming off a 100-point game vs. Rice. But on principle I gotta play a half unit here. The model has only 50 points scored. That seems a bit low, but I'm good with 41-35.
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    #2
    +1019
    (91%)
    10-1-1 in Last 12 NHL Picks
    STL
    -113
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 10:37pm

    Analysis

    Don't look now but the Boston Bruins are sitting on 19 points atop the Atlantic in the midst of a 7-2-1 run but is it sustainable? A quick look under the hood shows the Bruins have outperformed their expected goals on offense (+8.74) however its the goaltending tandem that's carried them performing at a +15.21 goals saved above expected. The underlying metrics at 5 on 5 and across all situations suggest what goes up must come down. The Blues have been snakebitten offensively and ran into a white hot Jacob Fowler on Tuesday suggesting they're leaving a lot out there. Projecting Hofer vs Swayman I'm at Blues -123 here and on the off chance Sway sits this price will run even further from current.
  • expert headshot
    Allie O'Neill
    #3
    +428
    (67%)
    10-5-1 in Last 16 NHL O/U Picks
    Under 6.5
    -120
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 29 @ 2:39am

    Analysis

    The Predators are keeping opponents to an impressive 2.57 goals per game when playing in Nashville. Even more encouraging, the under has hit in eight straight head-to-head matchups between these teams. While Washington has been solid offensively, Nashville’s ability to limit scoring at home, combined with the history between these two teams, gives us plenty of reason to like the under 6.5 tonight. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this total drop to 6, so I like getting in at 6.5 while we still can.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +138
    (56%)
    5-4 in Last 9 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Sabonis
    Over 38.5
    -106
    PTS + AST + REB
    Picked: Oct 29 @ 9:58am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. Domantas Sabonis has cleared this line in 3/4 games this season. His matchup against the weak interior defense of the Pelicans (who’ll be without Yves Missi) will be the best on the floor for the Kings to exploit tonight. The Pelicans have been torched in the early going by skilled, high usage big men both on the offensive end and on the glass. Look for Sabonis to put up 40+ PRA tonight.

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