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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    +58.5
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 MLB Picks
    PHI
    -134
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 30 @ 12:13am

    Analysis

    I played the Phillies with this same pitching matchup on Wednesday but the game got rained out. Now Cristopher Sanchez and Logan Webb will square off in the first game of a double-header. I'll run it back with Philadelphia. Sanchez is coming off his worst outing of the season versus the Cubs where he gave up six runs in 5.1 innings. However, in his five prior starts, Sanchez allowed just five earned runs over 28.1 innings. I expect Sanchez to rebound here and Logan Webb has pitched better at home than on the road. The Phillies go 2-0 under new skipper Don Mattingly.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +250
    (100%)
    5-0 in Last 5 MLB Game Props Picks
    STL +1.5
    -140
    First 5 Innings Run Line
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 30 @ 8:26am

    Analysis

    Paul Skenes is dominating again, but that mediocre Pirates lineup could easily be shut out over five innings by Hunter Dobbins in his Cardinals debut. And if the St. Louis offense can just push one across in the first five, I feel quite good about it. Prefer this certainly to Pirates -0.5 at same price.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +33
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Sanchez
    Over 6.5
    +106
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 30 @ 11:33am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. One of the few things going for the Phillies this season is that they have Christopher Sanchez, who remains one of the best starters in baseball. And despite a hiccup in his last outing against the Cubs, he’ll now face the Giants in the first game of a double header. Not only will the Phillies need their ace to pitch deep into this one, with a potential bullpen game on tap for the second leg, but I like the matchup. The Giants did face Sanchez earlier this season, and only K’ed six times. But the lefty forced a 17% whiff rate, gets a slightly more favorable lineup, and is pitching at home. I love this at plus odds.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    Amags
    player headshot
    C. Sanchez
    Over 6.5
    +105
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 30 @ 12:01pm

    Analysis

    Going with a strikeout ladder on Cristopher Sanchez in hopes of a bounce back at home. He gets an couple extra days of rest coming off his roughest outing of the season, allowing 12 hits and six runs to the Cubs. Sanchez faced this San Fran lineup earlier in the month and struck out six batters while allowing eleven hits in five innings, so in a game where they likely need him to pitch a bit deeper, I'm taking a shot on the over. If he can be even slightly better on a few batters than what we saw in the previous outing against this lineup, he'll get over this line. 0.5u/0.35u/0.15u for 7,8,9 Ks.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #2
    +772
    (73%)
    11-4 in Last 15 MLB Picks
    Over 8.5
    -124
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 29 @ 7:17pm

    Analysis

    Inclement weather forced the postponement of Wednesday's game in Baltimore, but they should get two games in Thursday, with no chance of rain at 63° and winds blowing across and out to right field at 15 mph. The Astros are the top over team in baseball, hitting at 70%, and the game stayed under on Tuesday, with the Orioles winning 5-3. In that game, there was one critical moment, I believe in the 6th, that the Astros blew a chance at getting over when they had runners on second and third with no outs, and then the bases loaded with one out, and they got no runs. Baltimore has gone over the total 18 times, which is 62.1% of their games. Game 1 Over.

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