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  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +1499
    (54%)
    133-112-4 in Last 249 NFL Picks
    CLE -3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 1 @ 10:21am

    Analysis

    Both teams are coming off blowout losses at home, but the Browns actually played well enough to win if not for two special teams miscues and a baffling decision to go for it on fourth down on their own 32. Those three plays led to 49ers touchdown drives that combined had the length of one normal TD drive, and the defense really deserved a competitive game at the end. The Titans can't make any such claim, with three offensive TDs in November and two coming after going down 30-10. On the road against a defense that is still playing hard, we can't expect much from Tennessee's offense. The Browns offense didn't have to do much to blow out Miami and Vegas, and this feels similar.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +1499
    (54%)
    133-112-4 in Last 249 NFL Picks
    JAC +1.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 1 @ 10:32am

    Analysis

    The Colts have key injuries on both sides of the ball, with Daniel Jones playing hurt and Sauce Gardner now sidelined. Indy has failed to gain 300 yards in back-to-back games after entering the Week 11 bye as the top offense in football. The Jaguars just closed out a brutal stretch of four road games in five weeks by going 4-1, and the defense is playing well enough that I have Jacksonville rated above average for the first time all year. With Indy's injury concerns, that means this game should be pick 'em at worst, and I wouldn't be surprised if Jacksonville closes favored.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +1499
    (54%)
    133-112-4 in Last 249 NFL Picks
    WAS -1.5
    +102
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 1 @ 10:39am

    Analysis

    Washington has lost seven straight games, but the Commanders' performance against Denver shows that they're miles ahead of the Vikings right now. Minnesota's defense had every answer for its former QB Sam Darnold, holding Seattle to 219 yards and 3.6 yards per play, and the Vikings still lost 26-0 because they continue to get the worst QB play this century. J.J. McCarthy was just as bad as Max Brosmer in his last start, so I'm not sure it matters who's starting at QB in this matchup, and I don't know how much fight the rest of the team has after seeing what they're getting from the QB position. I moved Minnesota down next to Cleveland in my ratings and that still might be too high.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +1499
    (54%)
    133-112-4 in Last 249 NFL Picks
    MIA -2.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 1 @ 10:48am

    Analysis

    The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games, but don't mistake that for a legitimate surge in competitiveness. Their wins have largely been marked by return TDs or very short scoring drives off miscues by the other team. Miami has won three straight by winning the turnover battle in each, and they can play a similar game as Atlanta while not essentially giving the Jets 10 free points (on two drives of 3 yards combined). The line makes sense but I think the Dolphins win by 3-7.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +248
    (57%)
    16-12 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    WAS -1
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 1 @ 11:07am

    Analysis

    The Commanders gave a spirited performance coming off their bye, losing by one in overtime to Denver. It was Washington's second solid effort in a row. Terry McLaurin's return made a huge difference, as did the presence of Daron Payne and Will Harris on defense. Now Washington visits a reeling Vikings team dealing with internal turmoil. It is unclear at the moment whether J.J. McCarthy and Jayden Daniels will return. Regardless, I like the Commanders to pull out the win.

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