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  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +426
    (55%)
    53-44-3 in Last 100 NFL Picks
    HOU +3
    -118
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 12 @ 10:48am

    Analysis

    The Jaguars just pulled out an improbable win over the Eagles, but they dominated the box score in that game, continuing a strong start to the season. That means they're three games up on the Texans, a team that absolutely has to have this one to have a shot at winning the division. The Texans defense rediscovered its mojo with DeMeco Ryans calling plays (with an awful Titans offense getting the assist). Before the season, the Texans were considered the better team, and the offense has been better than expected -- and just added another receiving option in Marvin Harrison Jr. If the defense is back on track, why would this ever be 3? I think the right line is pick 'em on a neutral.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    +552
    (75%)
    9-3 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    W. Marks
    Under 50.5
    -114
    Rushing Yards
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 13 @ 2:27pm

    Analysis

    I will continue to fade running backs against the best rushing defense in the NFL. The Jacksonville Jaguars' rush defense has held opponents to a league low 63.8 rushing yards per game. Last year, they also led the NFL, allowing only 85.6 yards per game. Woody Marks will step in for the injured David Montgomery for Houston. He had 62 vs. Tennessee last week. The Titans' defense is not the Jaguars' defense.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +161.5
    (55%)
    43-35 in Last 78 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    W. Marks
    Under 48.5
    -112
    Rushing Yards
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 14 @ 4:17pm

    Analysis

    DraftKings. The Jaguars haven’t allowed a running back to rush for more than 39 yards this season, as they limit the position to 2.5 yards per carry, on just 16.6 totes per game. Woody Marks is likely to start for the Texans, but he’s a highly inefficient runner at 3.6 yards per carry in his career. With Marvin Harrison Jr. now in town, this could be a game where the Texans abandon the run early.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +161.5
    (55%)
    43-35 in Last 78 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Schultz
    Under 15.5
    -108
    Longest Reception
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 15 @ 1:45pm

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Dalton Schultz is under this line in 10/16 games dating back to last season when playing with both Nico Collins and CJ Stroud. He’ll face the stingy tight-end defense of the Jaguars, who are 24th in yards per target allowed to the position (6.03). The Jags are a wide receiver funnel, meaning Stroud should pepper Nico Collins and his newest option, Marvin Harrison Jr., with targets.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +388
    (67%)
    10-5 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    N. Collins
    Over 69.5
    -114
    Receiving Yards
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 16 @ 12:40am

    Analysis

    Nico Collins has torched the Jaguars in the last five meetings. Jacksonville stuffs the run (2.9 yards per carry allowed) better than anyone, so Houston will need to throw to score. Marvin Harrison's arrival isn't going to severely impact Collins' target share. Back Collins to go Over on receiving yards.

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