NFL: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers are looking to get back on track from their first loss in 2020, while the Houston Texans want to double their win total when the teams meet Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium in Houston. Green Bay is a half-game behind Chicago atop the NFC North, while Houston and Jacksonville are trying to stay out of the AFC South cellar.

Green Bay is a three-point favorite on the road in the latest Packers vs. Texans odds from William Hill, down a half-point from the opening line. The over-under for total points expected is 56. Before entering any Texans vs. Packers picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 14-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 7 on an incredible 110-71 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Packers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Packers vs. Texans:

  • Texans vs. Packers spread: Packers -3
  • Texans vs. Packers over-under: 56 points
  • Texans vs. Packers money line: Houston +140, Green Bay -160

What you need to know about the Texans 

The Texans lost an overtime thriller to the Titans this past Sunday, 42-36. Despite the defeat, Deshaun Watson passed for four TDs and 335 yards on 37 attempts. He is aiming for his fourth game in row with 300-plus passing yards, two-plus TD passes and a 105-plus rating. Will Fuller had six catches for a season-high 123 yards. He has scored in four consecutive games. 

Brandin Cooks had a season-high nine catches for 68 yards and a TD in Week 6. Randall Cobb had 470 catches for 5,524 yards and 41 TDs in eight seasons with Green Bay (2011-18). The Texans are worst in the NFL in rushing yards per game, with only 73.5 on average. Tyrell Adams had eight tackles and his first sack of the season in Week 6. 

What you need to know about the Packers

Green Bay is 4-1 this season, but is coming off an abysmal performance last weekend against Tampa Bay. Running back Aaron Jones has scored a touchdown in five straight games, but it wasn't enough to overcome Aaron Rodgers' 160-yard, two-interception effort against the Buccaneers in Week 6. Jones is 10th in the NFL with 389 rushing yards, and his five touchdowns are tied for fourth in the league, but he is considered a game-time decision with a calf injury. If he can't go, look for Jamaal Williams and AJ Dillon to carry much of the load. 

It might have been in 2012, but Rodgers has superb history against the Texans -- throwing for six touchdowns in his only matchup against Houston. The 1-5 Texans are porous on defense, allowing 440.7 yards and 30.3 points per game. Green Bay has also covered in five consecutive games after a loss (3-0 ATS under coach Matt LaFleur).

How to make Packers vs. Texans picks

The model has simulated Texans vs. Packers 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Packers vs. Texans? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texans vs. Packers spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 7 of the NFL season on an incredible 110-71 roll.