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Two days after the Minnesota Lynx defeated the Indiana Fever 95-90, the two squads will meet up once again in Minneapolis with tipoff set for 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Fever shot 65% from behind the arc in Friday's matchup but still failed to grab the win. They'll still be without Caitlin Clark as they head into Sunday's showdown, and they've lost Sophie Cunningham, Sydney Colson and Aari McDonald for the year due to injuries. Minnesota, which has the best record in the WNBA, is set to get MVP frontrunner Napheesa Collier back after she was sidelined for some time with an ankle injury. She's officially considered probable for this game. These two sides did meet in the Commissioners Cup final as well, with Indiana winning that contest.

If you're a fan of WNBA betting and are unsure where to go for Fever vs. Lynx best bets, check out what plays WNBA experts Calvin Wetzel and Aaron Barzilai have locked in for this game.

Barzilai is a Ph.D. from Stanford who served as Director of Basketball Analytics for the Philadelphia 76ers. Five years ago, he founded HerHoopStats.com -- a groundbreaking website that unlocks insights about the women's game. Wetzel, the site's lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women's hoops to turn the site's prediction model into picks. Wetzel and Barzilai went 202-111-2 (+57.9 units) during the 2024 WNBA season and posted a 147-88-1 (+47.1 units) during the 2024-25 NCAA season. In the 2023 WNBA season, they finished 238-185-1 (+29.5 units).

Here are Wetzel and Barzilai's best bets for Indiana vs. Minnesota:

Fever vs. Lynx picks:

  • Lynx -10.5
  • Fever-Lynx Under 168

Lynx -10.5

In Friday's article, I took Minnesota over Indiana with the idea that Collier was likely to make her return. She didn't, the line moved the other way when she was ruled out, and Minnesota covered the closing line but not my line.

This time around, Collier is listed as probable, so let's try this again. The Lynx are at home for this one and the Fever aren't going to shoot 65% from deep again, so take Minnesota on the spread.

Fever-Lynx Under 168

While Indiana's 65% clip from the perimeter was absurd, the Lynx shot pretty well in their own right at 43%, leading to a combined 22-for-41 mark from beyond the arc. Because of that shooting performance and subsequent 185-point game in the first matchup, we're getting an inflated line in this one.

However, shooting regression should be coming, and teams generally play lower-scoring games in the second leg of a back-to-back anyway as defensive adjustments take over. Back the Lynx's league-leading defense to bounce back, especially with potential Defensive Player of the Year Collier probable to suit up, and grab the Under at a high number.