desmond-ritter-cincinnati-cbs.jpg
USATSI

The Texas A&M Aggies will look to pull the upset against the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide when they meet in a key SEC on CBS matchup on Saturday. The Aggies (3-2, 0-2) will also be out to snap a two-game losing streak after opening conference play with losses to Arkansas and Mississippi State. The Tide (5-0, 2-0) opened conference play with a hard-fought 31-29 win over Florida in Week 3, before posting huge wins over nonconference foe Southern Miss (63-14) and Ole Miss (42-21) in conference play. Alabama has won the last eight matchups against A&M.

The game from Kyle Field at College Station, Texas, is slated to start at 8 p.m. ET. Alabama is 26th in the nation in total offense, averaging 462.6 yards per game, while Texas A&M is 82nd nationally at 376.2. The Crimson Tide are favored by 18 points in the latest Alabama vs. Texas A&M odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 50.5. Before making any Texas A&M vs. Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 6 of the 2021 season on a 12-4 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Alabama vs. Texas A&M and just revealed its college football Week 6 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Texas A&M vs. Alabama: 

  • Alabama vs. Texas A&M spread: Alabama -18
  • Alabama vs. Texas A&M over-under: 50.5 points
  • Alabama vs. Texas A&M money line: Alabama -1000, Texas A&M +650
  • ALA: The Crimson Tide are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 conference games
  • TAM: The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss

Why Alabama can cover

The Crimson Tide have a solid rushing attack, led by senior Brian Robinson Jr. Robinson has carried 73 times for a team-high 379 yards (5.2 average) and six touchdowns. In last week's 42-21 win over 12th-ranked Ole Miss, he was a workhorse, carrying 36 times for 171 yards (4.8 average) and four touchdowns. In four-plus seasons for the Tide, he has carried 347 times for 1,740 yards (5.0 average) and 21 touchdowns.

Also carrying the load is sophomore running back Jase McClellan, who has carried 40 times for 191 yards (4.8 average) and one TD. His best game was a 12-carry, 97-yard effort against Southern Miss on Sept. 25. Sophomore Roydell Williams has 24 carries for 154 yards (6.4 average) and one score. Against Southern Miss, he had 11 carries for 110 yards, including a long of 55, and one TD.

Why Texas A&M can cover

The Aggies have been led by sophomore quarterback Zach Calzada, who is off to an up-and-down start to his season. Calzada has completed 69 of 128 passes (53.9 percent) for 744 yards and five touchdowns. He has been intercepted four times and has a rating of 109.4. His best game came in the team's last win, a 34-0 win over New Mexico on Sept. 18. In that game, Calzada completed 19 of 33 passes (57.6 percent) for 275 yards and three touchdowns with one interception.

Defensively, the Aggies are led by sophomore defensive back Antonio Johnson, who has come up big when needed. He leads the team with 41 tackles, including 29 solo, with four pass breakups. Last week against Mississippi State, Johnson made 15 tackles, including nine solo. He also made nine solo tackles and broke up two passes in A&M's 10-7 win over Colorado on Sept. 11.

How to make Texas A&M vs. Alabama picks

The model likes the under, projecting that the teams will combine for 50 points. It also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins the Alabama vs. Texas A&M matchup on Saturday? And which side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 12-4 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.