The Cowboys hope to ride momentum from a crucial division win when Dallas visits another NFC East rival, the New York Giants, on Monday Night Football. The Cowboys looked like one of the league's elite teams after starting 3-0, but then Dak Prescott and company lost three straight before rebounding with a convincing 35-17 primetime victory against the Eagles. Now, they come off a bye week and are rested for the Giants and rookie quarterback Daniel Jones. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Dallas is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Giants vs. Cowboys odds after the line opened at a touchdown, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 48.5. Before you make any Cowboys vs. Giants picks of your own, consult the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 9 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 25-17 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 87-60 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.  

Now, it has broken down Cowboys vs. Giants. We can tell you it's leaning under, but it's also generated a strong against the spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model knows the Cowboys are 8-3 in Monday Night Football games against the Giants and have won five straight in the series, covering the spread each time. They come in with the NFL's top offense at 437.9 yards per game and average 27.1 points. Prescott completes 70.6 percent of his passes and has an elite receiver in Amari Cooper (38 catches, 621 yards, five TDs) and a top running back in Ezekiel Elliott (778 total yards). He also can count on receiver Michael Gallup (27 catches) and veteran tight end and former Monday Night Football commentator Jason Witten (26). 

Linebackers Jaylon Smith (56 tackles) and Leighton Vander Esch (54) are anchors on defense, while Robert Quinn has six of the team's 17 sacks. DeMarcus Lawrence has 3.5 sacks and two of the unit's six fumble recoveries. They'll all face Jones, who has seven interceptions and been sacked 21 times. New York also has lost 10 fumbles.

But just because Dallas has the NFL's top offense doesn't mean it will cover the Giants vs. Cowboys spread on Monday Night Football. 

Jones threw for 406 yards and four touchdowns against the Lions, becoming the third rookie in the past 70 years to throw for at least 300 yards, four TDs and no interceptions in a game. He didn't start the opener against Dallas, but Barkley ran for 120 yards, while tight end Evan Engram had 11 catches for 116 yards and a TD. Jones found Darius Slayton for two touchdowns a week ago, while Golden Tate had a season-high eight catches for 85 yards. 

The Giants' defense can take advantage of mistakes, with Janoris Jenkins posting four of the team's seven interceptions, and Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has thrown seven this season. The Giants have 22 sacks, led by Markus Golden with six, and just added defensive end Leonard Williams in a trade. The sixth overall pick in 2015 had five sacks, 20 QB hits and 11 tackles for loss last season with the Jets.

So who wins Cowboys vs. Giants on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Cowboys vs. Giants spread you should be all over on Monday, all from the model that has returned over $7,000 on its top-rated picks.