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The Indiana Fever will once again be without Caitlin Clark as the star guard is set to miss her fifth straight game with a groin injury when the Fever host the Los Angeles Sparks at 7 p.m. ET. Saturday is the 10th game Clark will have missed this year due to injury, but the Fever have still done well without her, winning the Commissioner's Cup and entering the weekend with a 9-8 record, which ranks third in the Eastern Conference. As for the Sparks, they've gotten off to a rougher start this year, entering Saturday 5-3, which is last in the Western Conference. 

Interested in WNBA betting? What about WNBA props? Before you make any bets of your own, you need to see what WNBA experts Calvin Wetzel and Aaron Barzilai have to say about Saturday's Sparks vs. Fever matchup.

Barzilai is a Ph.D. from Stanford who served as Director of Basketball Analytics for the Philadelphia 76ers. Five years ago, he founded HerHoopStats.com -- a groundbreaking website that unlocks insights about the women's game. Wetzel, the site's lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women's hoops to turn the site's prediction model into picks. Wetzel and Barzilai went 202-111-2 (+57.9 units) during the 2024 WNBA season and posted a 147-88-1 (+47.1 units) during the 2024-25 NCAA season. In the 2023 WNBA season, they finished 238-185-1 (+29.5 units).

Here are Barzilai and Wetzel's top Sparks-Fever picks for Saturday, July 5:

  • Fever -7.5 (-114)
  • Over 163.5 (-110)

Fever -7.5

While the Fever may be without Clark once again on Saturday, the good news is that Indiana has been good without her, putting together back-to-back dominant performances against good teams with the team's top star on the bench. This Fever team has a ton of talent even with Clark sidelined, and now that they are getting their footing in terms of playing together, this is a dangerous team.

Even with Clark out once again, there's a couple points of value on this line as the lowly Sparks visit Indiana on Saturday.

Sparks/Fever Over 163.5

This bet certainly would have looked better if Clark was playing, but the Over tonight at this total still seems like a good play for a few reasons.  Even though the Fever have been had a much better defense than offense with Clark out of action, the Sparks play at a very fast pace and have a lackluster defense, which makes the Over here a very good look.

The Sparks have cleared this line in all but four of their games this season. It's worth noting that one of those four Unders was against the Fever, but the two teams made just 13 of 47 3-point attempts and still came up just three points short of the line. The other three came against the two teams tops in the WNBA in defensive rating.