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First base is a strange position for Dynasty purposes. The defensive threshold is so low that it's almost inevitable talented hitters will wind up there, whether because they're getting older or because they become the surplus at some other position.

But particularly with the emphasis on versatility at the major-league level, it's not often a position where those talented hitters start out. They have to prove they can't hack it at a more premium defensive position first.

It makes long-term planning difficult in a Dynasty league. Do you trust there will always be an old guy to fall back on if you don't happen into a player who moves to first base early in his career? Presently, only five of the standouts at the position are 27 or younger.

Fortunately, six of the top 30 here are prospects (or barely graduated prospects, in the case of Nate Lowe) who genuinely profile as first basemen, so help may be on the way.

During Monday's Fantasy Baseball Today Podcast we broke down first base for Dynasty, including Matt Olson vs. Josh Bell. Keep up with us and everything baseball and subscribe here

Here are the three factors I weigh most heavily when putting together these rankings:

  1. Present value: What a player is expected to be in 2020
  2. Future value: What his peak looks like and how much peak he has left
  3. Confidence rating: How confident I am in him meeting his immediate and long-term value

Each factor is measured on a 1-to-5 score, with five being the best, and a player's ranking is primarily determined by adding the scores. Ties typically go to the younger player, but personal preference plays a role as well. The distinctions become less evident further down the list, so at some point subjectivity has to reign.

Top 30 dynasty first basemen
RankPlayerAge (on 7/1)PresentFutureConfidence
1 24 5 5 5
2 30 5 3 5
3 25 4 4 4
4 30 4 3 4
5 27 4 4 3
6 26 4 4 3
7 29 4 3 3
8
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Rhys Hoskins PHI 1B
27 3 4 3
9 31 4 3 2
10 22 1 5 3
11 31 4 2 3
12 32 4 2 3
13 33 4 2 3
14 34 4 1 3
15 29332
16 242 4 2
17 23242
18 24233
19
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Danny Santana TEX 1B
29331
20 36 3 1 3
21 37313
22 29331
23 28 2 32
24 24241
25 28 331
26 30223
27 20141
28 3621 3
29 27 141
30 23141


Dynasty Rankings: 
SPRPOFSS1B3B2BC