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The Tuesday MLB schedule is loaded with 15 games and all 30 MLB teams scheduled to play. One of the most notable matchups in the early bank of games is Rangers vs. Rays, which projects to be a pitching duel with Tyler Mahle (5-2, 1.64 ERA) on the mound for Texas and Drew Rasmussen (4-4, 2.33 ERA) getting the start for Tampa Bay. Despite what looks like strong pitching on both sides, the SportsLine Projection Model is calling for a pair of Rangers players -- Marcus Semien and Josh Smith -- to go over on their projected total bases number. Another marquee matchup on Tuesday is Dodgers vs. Mets in a battle between two of the top World Series contenders in Major League Baseball.

The Dodgers are -141 favorites (risk $141 to win $100) on the money line and the over/under is 9 runs in the latest MLB odds. The model is calling for a strong performance from Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw, with the future Hall of Fame selection projected to finish the game with under 2.5 earned runs allowed. Before making any MLB picks or building any MLB parlay cards, you'll want to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer simulation model. You can also check out our MLB prop bet picks and MLB home run picks for Tuesday.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 11 of the 2025 MLB season on a profitable 13-10 run on top-rated MLB money-line betting picks. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.

The model has broken down the MLB odds for Tuesday and just revealed its top picks and MLB player props. Combining the model's four picks into an MLB parlay would result in a payout of +1023 (risk $100 to win $1,023). New users can even take advantage of the DraftKings promo code offering $300 in bonus bets instantly with a $5 wager.

Here are its best bets for the MLB slate on Tuesday.

  • Marcus Semien over 0.5 total bases (-178)
  • Josh Smith over 0.5 total bases (-200)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 total runs batted in (+195)
  • Clayton Kershaw under 2.5 total earned runs allowed (-160)
  • Combine these picks for a shot at a +1023 payout (odds subject to change)  

Marcus Semien over 0.5 total bases (-178)

Semien is a streaky hitter, but also a veteran, who has proven to be a constant threat at the plate during his 13-year MLB career. Semien enters Tuesday batting .201 with four home runs, but is coming off a 2-for-2 performance on Sunday, extending his hitting streak to three games. Semien has hit 5 overs in his last 5 games when the Rangers are not favored, with an average of 2.2 total bases per game.

Josh Smith over 0.5 total bases (-200)

Smith is an above average contact hitter, who is coming off a three-hit performance in his last game. The 27-year-old shortstop enters Tuesday hitting .269 with five home runs. SportsLine has an edge of 0.9 based on the projection of 1.4 total bases for Smith and the consensus line of 0.5.

Ceddane Rafaela over 0.5 total RBI (+195)

Rafaela is a promising young outfielder with above average speed. The 24-year-old is batting .245 with four home runs in 57 games played this season. He had two hits, including a solo home run, in Boston's 7-6 loss to the Angels on Monday. The SportsLine model gives this pick a slight edge based the value (+195) and the projection of 0.5 versus the consensus line of 0.5.

Clayton Kershaw under 2.5 total earned runs allowed (-160)

Kershaw is set to take on the Mets, who have won four straight games, on Tuesday. This will be Kershaw's fourth start of the 2025 season, and he is coming off a solid performance (one earned run allowed in 5.0 innings pitched) in his last outing. SportsLine's model has an edge of 1.0 for this pick based on the projection of 1.5 and the consensus line of 2.5. See more Dodgers vs. Mets picks right here.

Want more MLB picks for today?

You've seen some of the model's MLB best bets for Tuesday. Now, get run line, total and money-line picks for every game here, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times. 

Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today's top MLB picks from expert Matt Severance, who's on a sizzling 137-70 roll on his last 207 MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who's up more than 20 units.