2011 NFL Draft Redux: Colin Kaepernick to Browns or Jets?
We're hopping in the CBSSports.com time machine for the 2011 NFL Redraft. This way, everybody wins (except those teams that end up with Andy Dalton and Colin Kaepernick, of course.)
There's a truism that it's impossible to offer any sort of meaningful analysis in the hours following the NFL Draft. Of course, that doesn't stop us -- along with everybody else on the internet -- from immediately issuing grades that will invariably be wrong in the coming months.
So in the spirit of taking things slow (and before we all jump head first into post-draft "analysis" at the end of the month), we're hopping in the CBSSports.com time machine for the 2011 NFL Redraft, where we -- just like it sounds -- redraft each first-round pick.
A few rules:
1) No trades.
2) You know what you now know about these players (Example: Aldon Smith is amazing on the football field and a disaster off it. The ultimate high-risk play in a draft).
3) Teams have the same needs they had in 2011 (you know, when three separate teams decided Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert and Christian Ponder should go in the first round).
Ryan and Will didn't compare picks beforehand but we broke down all our picks on the Eye on Football Podcast (subscribe here via iTunes) which you can listen to in the player below.
All right, let's get to this...
1. Carolina Panthers
1. Carolina PanthersOriginal pick: Cam Newton, QB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: J.J. Watt, DE. The Panthers had needs at quarterback and along the defensive line, and while Newton still makes a lot of sense four years later, Watt is a transcendent talent. It's easy to argue that the NFL is a passing league, and having a franchise quarterback is the first box any competitive team will want to check, but the Texans went to the playoffs in Watt's first two years with Matt Schaub under center. Meanwhile, Newton helped lead the Panthers have made the postseason the last two seasons but it's important to remember two things: The defense ranked third in the league, according to Football Outsiders, during 2013's 12-4 run. And Newton despite his perceived improvement from one year to the next, had his worst season in 2014; FO's advanced metrics ranked him 33rd in total QB value. As a rookie he ranked 16th, 15th in 2012 and 19th in 2013.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: J.J. Watt, DE. Knowing what we know now about Watt, there’s no question he’s the slam-dunk choice at the top of this draft. Passing up a franchise quarterback is crazy -- and Newton is definitely a franchise quarterback -- but Watt is a top 10 NFL player overall.
2. Denver Broncos
2. Denver BroncosOriginal pick: Von Miller, LB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Richard Sherman, CB. Miller makes a lot of sense here too; he has 49 sacks in 56 games and is one of the NFL's elite young pass rushers, but Sherman is a lockdown corner whose CarAV of 55 is third among the 2011 draft class. Newton is also a possibility here, but new coach John Fox seemed comfortable with Kyle Orton heading into training camp before turning to Tim Tebow a few months later. And then, of course, the Broncos signed Peyton Manning before the 2012 season.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Cam Newton, QB. Peyton Manning wasn’t in the fold at the time and, really, Tebowmania hadn’t even taken hold. Tebow started three games in 2010 and went 1-2. Denver was in desperate need of a quarterback heading into 2011. Newton doesn't fit the John Fox mold but he's been better than people want to give him credit for. You can win a division and win a playoff game with him.
3. Buffalo Bills
3. Buffalo BillsOriginal pick: Marcell Dareus, DT.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Cam Newton, QB. The Bills, as they've been pretty much since Jim Kelly retired, were desperately seeking a franchise quarterback, which explains why, in October 2011, they signed Ryan Fitzpatrick to a six-year, $59 million deal. He was released in March 2013, and the team used it's 2013 first-round pick on EJ Manuel, who was benched last season for Kyle Orton. Other possibilities here include wideouts A.J. Green, Julio Jones or Randall Cobb, pass rushers Miller and Justin Houston, or Dareus, who has been solid in four seasons.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Richard Sherman, CB. SLIGHT bump here for Sherman, eh? The loquacious Seahawks cornerback wasn’t even the first dude named Sherman taken in the fifth round in 2011 (Anthony Sherman, UConn fullback was). Now he’s a lock for the top five.
4. Cincinnati Bengals
4. Cincinnati BengalsOriginal pick: A.J. Green, WR.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: A.J. Green, WR. Yes, it's a boring pick, but Green has been the Bengals' best offensive weapon, a fact reinforced by the team's decision to give Andy Dalton a new deal. Incidentally, Dalton's CarAV ranks fifth among the 2011 draft class, but that's a function of never missing a start and having an explosive offense around him -- and that starts with Green. Other options here include pass rushers Miller, Houston or Robert Quinn; or offensive tackle Tyron Smith. (And no, we weren't tempted to take Colin Kaepernick here, even though this was the offseason that Carson Palmer made it known that he was done with Cincinnati, and the Bengals needed to find his replacement.)
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: A.J. Green, WR. A clean sweep! Let’s assume the Bengals still go wideout (it’s too early for Andy Dalton … right??) and let’s assume they still favor Green over Julio Jones. If that's the case they're going with their guy again.
5. Arizona Cardinals
5. Arizona CardinalsOriginal pick: Patrick Peterson, CB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Tyron Smith, LT. The Cardinals' offensive line has been a hot mess for awhile. In 2011, they ranked 27th in pass-protection efficiency, allowing 54 sacks (Levi Brown was the left tackle that season). In 2012, the unit ranked 26th, allowing 58 sacks (D'Anthony Batiste manned the position for 10 games that season). Smith has anchored the Cowboys' line, making life easier for Tony Romo, and helping DeMarco Murray land that ridiculous new contract from the Eagles this offseason.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Patrick Peterson, CB. Another pick that slots the same for me. Arizona has Larry Fitzgerald and we’re going to operate under the assumption the Kevin Kolb trade was in place even though it didn’t actually go down until July. So the Cardinals need help on defense and Peterson's been a high-level cornerback for them in his time there. The diabetes thing is a concern.
6. Cleveland Browns
6. Cleveland BrownsOriginal pick: Julio Jones, WR (trade with Falcons).
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Julio Jones, WR. The Browns originally traded down and selected defensive tackle Phil Taylor, and used the other picks they received from the Falcons to take wideout Greg Little in Round 2, fullback Owen Marecic in Round 4, and quarterback Brandon Weeden with the 22nd pick in the 2012 draft. So yeah. Jones fills an obvious hole at wide receiver, even if an obvious hole at quarterback remains. (Colt McCoy would go 4-9 in 13 starts in 2011.)
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Colin Kaepernick, QB. The Browns search for a quarterback has led them far and wide. And down. Also down. Given Kaep’s ceiling they ignore the Falcons request to trade, stand pat and land a quarterback. Even better news: as this new reality unfolds it doesn’t feature Brandon Weeden or Johnny Manziel.
7. San Francisco 49ers
7. San Francisco 49ersOriginal pick: Aldon Smith, LB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Von Miller, LB. Miller was suspended for six games in 2013 for violating the NFL's drug policy, but otherwise, he's missed just two games in four seasons. Smith, meanwhile, was suspended for nine games last season for violations of the personal conduct policy and the substance abuse policy. He also missed five games in 2013. Yes, he still has 44 career sacks vs. Miller's 49, but Miller's CarAV ranks sixth among all 2011 draft picks while Smith's CarAV ranks 27th.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Robert Quinn, LB. The 49ers go back to the pass-rush well in this redux, but they grab the safer, better talent in Quinn (as opposed to off-field issue machine Aldon Smith). Quinn at No. 7 kind of feels like stealing and it's partially because he had a "down year" in 2014.
8. Tennessee Titans
8. Tennessee TitansOriginal pick: Jake Locker, QB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Justin Houston, LB. The Titans were coming off a 6-10 season and quarterback was at the top of the to-do list. Locker, while a reach, made sense on many levels. But as often happens, the decision to draft him eighth overall proved to be a reach and he's now out of football. The team was relatively young on both sides of the ball, but you can never have enough pass rushers. Quinn, who ranks just behind Houston in terms of CarAV, is also an option.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Andy Dalton, QB. Whaaaaaaa?? Look, no one says these teams have to be smarter. Dalton's been a capable steward of the Bengals offense and there are plenty of teams, including the Titans, who would kill for him as their starter. The Titans desperately needed a quarterback in 2011 and took Jake Locker 8th. Taking Dalton here would’ve looked like a stroke of genius by comparison.
9. Dallas Cowboys
9. Dallas CowboysOriginal pick: Tyron Smith, OT.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Robert Quinn, DE. Smith solidified the Cowboys' offensive line, but Quinn fills a need along the d-line. In 2011, 32-year-old Kenyon Coleman started 15 games and Quinn, who has 45 career sacks, would have been a clear upgrade. Other options here include Patrick Peterson (the Cowboys would trade up in the 2012 draft to take Morris Claiborne) or, if they were going to reach for an offensive tackle here, Anthony Castanzo or Nate Solder.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Tyron Smith, OL. One of the many home-run offensive-line picks for Jerry Jones that helped build the Cowboys into contenders during 2014. Roll it back. Maybe Smith shouldn't still be sitting here but weren't not ranking the players, we're doing a Back to the Future mock draft.
10. Washington Redskins
10. Washington RedskinsOriginal pick: Blaine Gabbert, QB (trade with Jaguars).
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Patrick Peterson, CB. The Redskins had needs at quarterback, and we were tempted to take Andy Dalton here to save us all from the agony of the Robert Griffin III era, not to mention the cost of trading up to get him. But then we remembered that Dalton is basically Kirk Cousins (or, if you like, Colt McCoy), and just has the benefit of playing in a system where he's not expected to carry the entire offense. Novel idea, that. Meanwhile, Peterson shores up a secondary that has long needed shoring up. Other options here could include wideout Randall Cobb or guard Mike Pouncey.
Will Brinson's Redraft Pick: Julio Jones, WR. Before Pierre Garcon signed, before DeSean Jackson signed the Redskins depth chart at wideout included Anthony Armstrong and Brandon Banks as starters. That is almost as unacceptable as nine teams passing on Jones, who feels like a steal at No. 10.
11. Houston Texans
11. Houston TexansOriginal pick: J.J. Watt, DE.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Marcell Dareus, DT. Dareus ain't Watt, but he's one of the best interior defensive linemen in the league. In fact, he ranked fourth among all interior d-linemen last season, according to Pro Football Focus, behind only Aaron Donald, Gerald McCoy and Ndamukong Suh. Again, Dalton was a consideration here, but again, he's basically a younger version of Matt Schaub. Other options include Muhammad Wilkerson, a dynamic and disruptive defensive end.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Muhammad Wilkerson, DL. Not a terrible consolation prize to history stealing Watt from the Texans. Wilkerson isn’t as good as Watt (who is?) but he’s still a very, very good player and a dominant defensive lineman.
12. Minnesota Vikings
12. Minnesota VikingsOriginal pick: Christian Ponder, QB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Randall Cobb, WR. Quarterback was an obvious need, but so too was wide receiver. Percy Harvin led the team with 87 receptions, but Michael Jenkins was next with 38. Cobb is Harvin without the headaches (we know, terrible pun, even if true) who is also a dangerous return man.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Justin Houston, LB. Houston fell because of off-field concerns so he sees a slight dip here too. But knowing how good he is? He won’t fall that far. Everyone always needs pass-rush help and the Chiefs pass rusher is coming off a mammoth 2014 season.
13. Detroit Lions
13. Detroit LionsOriginal pick: Nick Fairley, DT.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Muhammad Wilkerson, DE. Fairley, who had issues with weight and staying out of trouble, wasn't re-signed this offseason. Wilkerson makes sense for a team that would start 33-year-old Kyle Vanden Bosch 16 times in the 2011 season.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Von Miller, OLB. Miller’s had off-field issues since he came to the NFL and also tore his ACL, which is why he isn’t a top-10 pick in this redraft. Detroit will happily scoop him up however. Pairing Miller’s rookie year with Ndamukong Suh would’ve been filthy.
14. St. Louis Rams
14. St. Louis RamsOriginal pick: Robert Quinn, DE.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: DeMarco Murray, RB. Yes, we're firmly in the "it's usually a waste to take a running back in the first round" camp, but Murray has been special through four seasons. His CarAV ranks eighth among all 2011 picks, and the Rams had a need at the position; Steven Jackson was 28 and on the downside of a great run, and Cadillac Williams was the Rams' second-leading rusher that season with 361 yards on 87 carries.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Marcell Dareus, DT. Remember this magical time? When the Rams weren’t considered in need of a quarterback following Sam Bradford’s ROY campaign? What a world. Jeff Fisher still dives into the defensive line, albeit at tackle, grabbing the talented but sometimes-troubled Dareus.
15. Miami Dolphins
15. Miami DolphinsOriginal pick: Mike Pouncey, C/G.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Mike Pouncey, C/G. Again, not exciting, but Pouncey is one of the league's best interior linemen (some even think he's better than twin brother Maurkice). The Dolphins also had a need at running back -- but Murray just went off the board -- and quarterback, but this is too early for Dalton or, if you prefer, Colin Kaepernick.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Mike Pouncey, C/G. Sweep the leg! Pouncey almost went the pick before to the Rams so he fits in his natural spot of 15.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars
16. Jacksonville JaguarsOriginal pick: Ryan Kerrigan DE (trade with Redskins).
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Orlando Franklin, G. The Jaguars' starting guards in 2011 were Will Rackley and Uche Nwaneri, and Franklin upgrades the unit. Again, Dalton or Kaepernick are options (read: reaches) here.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: DeMarco Murray, RB. Capable of workhorse-level production, Murray earned a haul in free agency this offseason. Someone would certainly gamble on him in the first before he put on all those miles despite injury concerns. Jacksonville wins regardless of who they draft because that person is not Blaine Gabbert.
17. New England Patriots
17. New England PatriotsOriginal pick: Nate Solder, OT.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Jurrell Casey, DE. Solder works here too, but Casey, who ranked seventh among all defensive ends last season, according to PFF, would infuse youth to the Patriots' defensive line, where 32-year-old Andre Carter played 14 games in 2011. (Carter also made the Pro Bowl that season, but didn't return to New England in 2012.)
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Solder’s been a stud for the Patriots the past couple of years and one of just four dudes taken by New England in the top 20 in the past 15 years. No reason why they would change the pick if he's still sitting there.
18. San Diego Chargers
18. San Diego ChargersOriginal pick: Corey Liuget, DT.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Nate Solder, OT. Liuget is a good fit here, too, but Solder would immediately fill in for left tackle Marcus McNeill, who played just nine games in 2011, his final NFL season.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Cameron Jordan, DE. Jordan posted 20 total sacks the last two season as a 3-4 defensive end and is one of the underrated players in this draft.
19. New York Giants
19. New York GiantsOriginal pick: Prince Amukamara, CB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: K.J. Wright. Originally a fourth-round pick, Wright ranked sixth among all outside linebackers last season, according to PFF. During the 2011 season, he would have lined up alongside Mathias Kiwanuka, and behind Justin Tuck and Jason Pierre-Paul.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Jurrell Casey, DT. Goodness gracious this draft is stacked. You’re snagging franchise players deep into this thing. The Giants would love to plug Casey on their defensive line and he’d only make the defensive ends they were throwing at opposing quarterbacks that much more effective.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20. Tampa Bay BuccaneersOriginal pick: Adrian Clayborn, DE.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Cameron Heyward, DE. Clayborn never lived up to the hype -- in part due to his inability to stay healthy -- and he played in just three games in 2012, and just one game last season for the Falcons. Meanwhile, Heyward's NFL career started slow but now he's one of the league's best young defensive ends.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Aldon Smith, OLB. Maybe this is too early to gamble on the personal issues Smith has. But if we’re hopping in the time machine knowing what we know now, someone is going to roll the dice on his talent and think they can overcome the issues. This probably ends poorly.
21. Kansas City Chiefs
21. Kansas City ChiefsOriginal pick: Phil Taylor, DT (trade with Browns).
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Andy Dalton, QB. The Chiefs originally traded out of this pick and the Browns selected Taylor. But with a need at quarterback, and Andy Reid likely to take over in a few years, Dalton is a logical choice here. He's a younger, cheaper version of Alex Smith.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Chris Harris, CB. Harris is developing into one of the better young cornerbacks in the league and just put together an outstanding season coming off a late-season ACL injury (not enough people talk about his fast recovery by the way). That he went undrafted is a reminder that figuring out who will be good in the NFL is hard.
22. Indianapolis Colts
22. Indianapolis ColtsOriginal pick: Anthony Castonzo, OT.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Anthony Castonzo, OT. With Peyton Manning sidelined for the year, this team was on a collision course with two wins, and eventually, the first overall pick. Castonzo would be invaluable as Andrew Luck's eventual blindside protector, and he ranked 11th among all left tackles last season, according to PFF.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Anthony Castonzo, OL. Still desperate to secure a franchise tackle to protect Peyton Manning, the Colts stick with their original pick.
23. Philadelphia Eagles
23. Philadelphia EaglesOriginal pick: Danny Watkins, G.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Aldon Smith, DE/OLB. Yes, the Eagles had needs along the offensive line, but again, you can never have too many pass rushers. Smith had 14 sacks in part-time duty as a rookie in San Francisco (including 1.5 against the Eagles in Week 4), and it's fair to think he would have had similar success in Philly.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Jimmy Smith, CB. The Danny Watkins pick was one of the biggest disasters of Andy Reid’s tenure. He can rectify it here by improving the Eagles secondary through grabbing Smith.
24. New Orleans Saints
24. New Orleans SaintsOriginal pick: Cameron Jordan, DE.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Ryan Kerrigan, DE/OLB. Jordan's CarAV ranks him as a first-round pick, but he struggled in 2014. Kerrigan, who was originally drafted by the Redskins with the 16th pick, ranked fifth among all outside linebackers last season, according to PFF.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Randall Cobb, WR. Brandin Cooks before Cooks was Cooksed. Or something. This is probably too far for Cobb to fall but if you look at the board, wideouts weren’t flying off in 2011 either. Jon Baldwin was the third guy off the board at 27. Watching Cobb operate in a Sean Payton offense would be delightful.
25. Seattle Seahawks
25. Seattle SeahawksOriginal pick: James Carpenter, OL.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Charles Clay, TE. Clay was a originally a sixth-round pick, but he adds depth to a receivers corps that includes tight end Zach Miller and wide receivers Sidney Rice, Mike Williams and Ben Obomanu.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: K.J. Wright, LB. — What a freaking draft from the Seahawks, who are able to secure one of their first-round talents in the hypothetical first round by grabbing Wright here. A better pick than James Carpenter to be sure.
26. Baltimore Ravens
26. Baltimore RavensOriginal pick: Jimmy Smith, CB.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Pernell McPhee, LB/DE. A fifth-round pick in 2011, McPhee proved to be a first-round talent. He parlayed his 7.5-sack 2014 season into a five-year deal with the Bears.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Ryan Kerrigan, OLB. — Best player available is Ozzie Newsome’s motto and that’s Kerrigan at this point.
27. Atlanta Falcons
27. Atlanta FalconsOriginal pick: Jonathan Baldwin, WR (trade via the Browns, via the Chiefs).
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Julius Thomas, TE. Thomas could learn from Hall of Famer Tony Gonzalez and the Falcons would get to keep all those picks they sent to Cleveland to move up and take Julio Jones.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Julius Thomas, TE. Unable to trade up for Julio Jones in our alternate world, the Falcons still land a quality weapon in Thomas, who can eventually replace Tony Gonzalez.
28. New England Patriots
28. New England PatriotsOriginal pick: Mark Ingram, RB (trade via the Saints).
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Jimmy Smith, CB. Smith would give the Pats a big, physical cornerback to pair with Devin McCourty (who played cornerback his first few seasons in New England). Added bonus: this pick complements the earlier selection of defensive lineman Jurrell Casey.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Nick Fairley, DT. Who better to motivate an incredibly talented but underwhelming worker like Fairley than Bill Belichick?
29. Chicago Bears
29. Chicago BearsOriginal pick: Gabe Carimi, OL.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Jason Kelce, C. Not a sexy pick, but Kelce, who ranked eighth among all centers last season (via PFF), would eventually replace the 32-year-old Roberto Garza. (We actually gave some consideration to taking Kaepernick here, but felt like Bears' fans have suffered enough with Jay Cutler.)
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Orlando Franklin, OT. Protecting — as opposed to trading — Jay Cutler was still a thing back in 2011 what with Frank Omiyale and J’Marcus Webb shoring up the line for Chicago.

30. New York Jets
30. New York JetsOriginal pick: Muhammad Wilkerson, DE.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Colin Kaepernick, QB. Yes, we know. This has disaster written all over it. And Mark Sanchez was coming off back-to-back AFC Championship game appearances. But since we know how this plays out, and that Sanchez, Tim Tebow or Geno Smith were/are the answers, it's worth taking a flier on Kap here.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Cameron Heyward, DL. Was originally going to give the Jets Mark Ingram here given Rex Ryan’s love of the running game but Heyward is a better pick and went on the very next pick in real life. Rex also loves defensive line anchors and Heyward gives him just that.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers
31. Pittsburgh SteelersOriginal pick: Cameron Heyward, DE.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Jabaal Sheard, OLB. He's a different player than Heyward, but Sheard flashed some pass-rush ability early in his career with the Browns.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Jabaal Sheard, DE. The Steelers snag a local pass rusher who can help keep up the pressure on opposing offenses.
32. Green Bay Packers
32. Green Bay PackersOriginal pick: Derek Sherrod, OL.
Ryan Wilson's Redraft pick: Corey Liuget, DT. Injuries derailed Sherrod's career before it got started, and Liuget would seamlessly move into B.J. Raji's role in the middle of the Packers' defense.
Will Brinson's Redraft pick: Jason Kelce, OL. With Ted Thompson understanding Scott Wells is headed out of town he grabs Kelce, hoping to keep Aaron Rodgers protected coming off a Super Bowl MVP season.















