2020 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: Undercover Mock takes you into the world of first-round WRs
Running backs will fly off the board in Round 1, but what if you wanted to take the safe route with a wide receiver instead?
Welcome to our 'Undercover Mock' series, where our analysts will surreptitiously go into mock drafts with real people. Unlike our expert mock drafts, you won't see Patrick Mahomes falling to the third round here. These are real mock drafts with folks who don't hyper-analyze Fantasy Football. We're trying to show you how to find real advantages drafting with real people.
MOCK: 12-team PPR, 8th pick
DATE, TIME, SITE: Friday, Aug. 21, 9:30 a.m., ESPN
OBJECTIVE: What kind of a team could be built with a wide receiver taken in Round 1?
There was no plan to roll out a Zero RB strategy, no plan to select any other position at any other point in the draft, just a plan to take a wide receiver in Round 1— be it Michael Thomas or Davante Adams.
Thomas went at 1.05, so Adams it was at 1.08. In a real draft I would have taken Miles Sanders, but I keep my promises.
But there were no rules after that.
One of my primary philosophies on Draft Day is to cover yourself with reliable running backs early on. If you wait too long, you'll surely be strong at other spots but you definitely won't be at the one position in Fantasy that tends to score the most points.
I targeted running backs with my next two picks and felt really good to get Joe Mixon at 17th overall. His ADP is right around there on CBS Sports but I've been used to seeing him anywhere from eighth to 12th overall. Between him and Adams it feels like I'm cheating the rest of the league with two first-round caliber players.
What may have pushed Mixon down to me was Lamar Jackson getting snagged at 13th overall. Again, ADP suggests that might actually be a little later than normal, but to me it feels like an overpay for a quarterback. Yes, he might be awesome again in 2020, but it's hard to justify taking him when ...
- There are really good quarterbacks getting drafted several rounds later, including in this mock
- History is working against him finishing as the No. 1 quarterback in Fantasy (no one's gone back-to-back since 2011-12)
- Five of the eight quarterbacks in Fantasy history who registered 25 passing touchdowns and 500 rush yards in the same season finished in the top-10 the following season, but none in the top-3
So I owe a giant meatball hoagie to whoever took Jackson at 13th so Mixon would slide a little bit farther.
Maybe this was my lucky day — after getting Mixon in Round 2, I landed James Conner in Round 3. This wasn't a shocker when realizing his ADP, but all indications out of Pittsburgh are that Conner will be the main rusher for the Steelers until further notice:
"It's James Conner's backfield. It's not going to be a running back-by-committee approach."
— Fantasy Football Today (@FFToday) August 21, 2020
Steelers beat writer @MarkKaboly expects a HUGE workload for Conner. pic.twitter.com/WgKrObVd87
I would have been open to taking another runner in Round 4 but couldn't see one I liked as much as Cooper Kupp. His value continues to slide because ... I don't know. The guy has 16 touchdowns and 5.6 catches per game in his last 24 overall and people are freaking out because his playing time declined toward the end of last season. It's not going to stay that way. He's a safe No. 1 receiver in my eyes, except here he's my No. 2.
If you've been following along with our Fantasy Football Today Podcast or reading my stuff since the summer, you know I've developed strong conviction about Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones. My take is he'll be good enough to be a No. 2 running back but you can draft him as a No. 3. And that's what I did here when facing a running back run in Round 5. It was pretty easy decision: Risk missing out on a third running back when they're going like hot cakes, or take the one I really want. Hmm, not too tough.
My team through five rounds:
1.08: Davante Adams, WR, Packers
2.05: Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals
3.08: James Conner, RB, Steelers
4.05: Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams
5.08: Ronald Jones, RB, Buccaneers
I'm thrilled. I didn't reach for a quarterback and I know I'll find a tight end at a good value later on, plus I have the great stable of running backs I wished for.
Moving on, I had the chance to pick up a top-6 quarterback in Round 6, which screams good value, but didn't. I opted to fully stock up my wide receiver corps by landing Stefon Diggs. This was a tough one — Diggs has No. 2 receiver upside for sure, but a stud quarterback in Round 6 is a pretty sweet bargain. Ultimately I decided that Diggs was the better bargain and that I could wait even longer for a quarterback, but it was close. Had I taken a passer, it would have been Russell Wilson.
Sure enough, the next two picks were Kyler Murray and Wilson, and just like that, the top-6 quarterbacks in Fantasy this year were history.
I could have overreacted to that and taken the best remaining quarterback with my next pick. Instead, I took Tarik Cohen hoping that tight end Hunter Henry would slide one more round. Like quarterbacks, I'm looking for great values at tight end in drafts. Fortunately, Henry hit my roster a round later.
Yep, I still needed a quarterback, but a funny thing happens when you wait a while for one: Many other managers in the draft get theirs, then (correctly) don't bother taking a second passer until much, much later. So after the top-6 quarterbacks and Drew Brees were gone, I surveyed the board and knew that I could probably wait until Round 10 and still get one of Tom Brady, Matt Ryan or Josh Allen. That's why I splurged on Jalen Reagor in Round 9.
And that's the story of how I got Tom Brady, the guy throwing to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski and Scotty Miller (who?!), to be my starting quarterback in Round 10. An absolute steal, particularly considering his ADP on CBS is 50 PICKS HIGHER than where I got him.
Maybe it's because it was a mock. Maybe not. Point is, wait for your quarterback.
Here's the squad
QB | Tom Brady | BN | Ronald Jones |
RB | Joe Mixon | BN | Tarik Cohen |
RB | James Conner | BN | Jalen Reagor |
WR | Davante Adams | BN | |
WR | Cooper Kupp | BN | |
TE | Hunter Henry | BN | |
FLEX | Stefon Diggs | BN | Steve Sims |
DST | K |
What if I went Zero RB?
So let's say the plan was to ditch running backs until Round 5. What would the team have looked like? Based on the actual results, here it is:
QB | Russell Wilson | BN | J.K. Dobbins |
RB | Ronald Jones | BN | Boston Scott |
RB | Tarik Cohen | BN | |
WR | Davante Adams | BN | Damien Harris |
WR | BN | Bryce Love | |
TE | BN | ||
FLEX | Cooper Kupp | BN | |
DST | Chargers | K | Dan Bailey |
Gotta be honest, it's not a bad squad. The one thing that definitely bothers me is that Kupp, Scott, Harris and Love all would have been taken at least one round sooner than when I actually did take them. That tells me that the values I got them at with my real mock Fantasy team were excellent.
Lessons learned
- Starting with a wide receiver in Round 1 is totally doable, but it comes with the caveat that you should prioritize running backs in Round 2 and/or 3. Probably.
- Wide receiver depth is plentiful and you should expect to find a viable selection at pretty much every pick. You can afford to be a little more patient with receivers.
- Running back depth was surprisingly good in this mock, but that's because other drafters selected other positions aggressively. It's a best-case scenario for anyone with any running back plan.
- Steal your quarterback.
The results
ROUND 1 | | |
1 | Team 1 | Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers |
2 | Team 2 | Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants |
3 | Team 3 | Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys |
4 | Team 4 | Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints |
5 | Team 5 | Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints |
6 | Team 6 | Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings |
7 | Team 7 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs |
8 | Dave's Undercover Team | Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers |
9 | Team 9 | Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans |
10 | Team 10 | Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers |
11 | Team 11 | Kenyan Drake, RB, Arizona Cardinals |
12 | Team 12 | Josh Jacobs, RB, Las Vegas Raiders |
ROUND 2 | | |
13 | Team 12 | Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens |
14 | Team 11 | Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles |
15 | Team 10 | Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs |
16 | Team 9 | Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns |
17 | Dave's Undercover Team | Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals |
18 | Team 7 | Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers |
19 | Team 6 | DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals |
20 | Team 5 | Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons |
21 | Team 4 | Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs |
22 | Team 3 | Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs |
23 | Team 2 | Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
24 | Team 1 | Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
ROUND 3 | | |
25 | Team 1 | Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars |
26 | Team 2 | Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Cleveland Browns |
27 | Team 3 | George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers |
28 | Team 4 | Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks |
29 | Team 5 | Todd Gurley II, RB, Atlanta Falcons |
30 | Team 6 | Kenny Golladay, WR, Detroit Lions |
31 | Team 7 | DJ Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers |
32 | Dave's Undercover Team | James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers |
33 | Team 9 | Allen Robinson II, WR, Chicago Bears |
34 | Team 10 | Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings |
35 | Team 11 | JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers |
36 | Team 12 | Le'Veon Bell, RB, New York Jets |
ROUND 4 | | |
37 | Team 12 | Mark Andrews, TE, Baltimore Ravens |
38 | Team 11 | Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys |
39 | Team 10 | David Johnson, RB, Houston Texans |
40 | Team 9 | Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos |
41 | Dave's Undercover Team | Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams |
42 | Team 7 | Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons |
43 | Team 6 | Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams |
44 | Team 5 | Melvin Gordon, RB, Denver Broncos |
45 | Team 4 | Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills |
46 | Team 3 | Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington |
47 | Team 2 | Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles |
48 | Team 1 | A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans |
ROUND 5 | | |
49 | Team 1 | Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts |
50 | Team 2 | Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers |
51 | Team 3 | Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks |
52 | Team 4 | David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears |
53 | Team 5 | Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns |
54 | Team 6 | D'Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions |
55 | Team 7 | T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts |
56 | Dave's Undercover Team | Ronald Jones II, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
57 | Team 9 | Jarvis Landry, WR, Cleveland Browns |
58 | Team 10 | DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins |
59 | Team 11 | DJ Chark Jr., WR, Jacksonville Jaguars |
60 | Team 12 | Raheem Mostert, RB, San Francisco 49ers |
ROUND 6 | | |
61 | Team 12 | DK Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks |
62 | Team 11 | Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys |
63 | Team 10 | Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans |
64 | Team 9 | Darren Waller, TE, Las Vegas Raiders |
65 | Dave's Undercover Team | Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills |
66 | Team 7 | Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals |
67 | Team 6 | Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks |
68 | Team 5 | Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys |
69 | Team 4 | Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens |
70 | Team 3 | Will Fuller V, WR, Houston Texans |
71 | Team 2 | Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams |
72 | Team 1 | A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals |
ROUND 7 | | |
73 | Team 1 | Mark Ingram II, RB, Baltimore Ravens |
74 | Team 2 | Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals |
75 | Team 3 | Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots |
76 | Team 4 | Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans |
77 | Team 5 | Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams |
78 | Team 6 | Evan Engram, TE, New York Giants |
79 | Team 7 | Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers |
80 | Dave's Undercover Team | Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears |
81 | Team 9 | Marvin Jones Jr., WR, Detroit Lions |
82 | Team 10 | Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers |
83 | Team 11 | James White, RB, New England Patriots |
84 | Team 12 | Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets |
ROUND 8 | | |
85 | Team 12 | Darius Slayton, WR, New York Giants |
86 | Team 11 | Jordan Howard, RB, Miami Dolphins |
87 | Team 10 | Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions |
88 | Team 9 | Darrell Henderson Jr., RB, Los Angeles Rams |
89 | Dave's Undercover Team | Hunter Henry, TE, Los Angeles Chargers |
90 | Team 7 | Phillip Lindsay, RB, Denver Broncos |
91 | Team 6 | Matt Breida, RB, Miami Dolphins |
92 | Team 5 | Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints |
93 | Team 4 | J.K. Dobbins, RB, Baltimore Ravens |
94 | Team 3 | Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington |
95 | Team 2 | Zack Moss, RB, Buffalo Bills |
96 | Team 1 | Latavius Murray, RB, New Orleans Saints |
ROUND 9 | | |
97 | Team 1 | Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants |
98 | Team 2 | Tevin Coleman, RB, San Francisco 49ers |
99 | Team 3 | Marlon Mack, RB, Indianapolis Colts |
100 | Team 4 | Preston Williams, WR, Miami Dolphins |
101 | Team 5 | Henry Ruggs III, WR, Las Vegas Raiders |
102 | Team 6 | Christian Kirk, WR, Arizona Cardinals |
103 | Team 7 | Jared Cook, TE, New Orleans Saints |
104 | Dave's Undercover Team | Jalen Reagor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles |
105 | Team 9 | Golden Tate, WR, New York Giants |
106 | Team 10 | Robby Anderson, WR, Carolina Panthers |
107 | Team 11 | Noah Fant, TE, Denver Broncos |
108 | Team 12 | John Brown, WR, Buffalo Bills |
ROUND 10 | | |
109 | Team 12 | Emmanuel Sanders, WR, New Orleans Saints |
110 | Team 11 | Curtis Samuel, WR, Carolina Panthers |
111 | Team 10 | Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings |
112 | Team 9 | Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons |
113 | Dave's Undercover Team | Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
114 | Team 7 | Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys |
115 | Team 6 | Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City Chiefs |
116 | Team 5 | Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers |
117 | Team 4 | T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions |
118 | Team 3 | Hayden Hurst, TE, Atlanta Falcons |
119 | Team 2 | Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles |
120 | Team 1 | Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
ROUND 11 | | |
121 | Team 1 | Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills |
122 | Team 2 | Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos |
123 | Team 3 | CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys |
124 | Team 4 | Daniel Jones, QB, New York Giants |
125 | Team 5 | Steelers D/ST |
126 | Team 6 | Mike Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers |
127 | Team 7 | Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings |
128 | Dave's Undercover Team | Boston Scott, RB, Philadelphia Eagles |
129 | Team 9 | Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions |
130 | Team 10 | Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers |
131 | Team 11 | Breshad Perriman, WR, New York Jets |
132 | Team 12 | DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles |
ROUND 12 | | |
133 | Team 12 | Parris Campbell, WR, Indianapolis Colts |
134 | Team 11 | Duke Johnson, RB, Houston Texans |
135 | Team 10 | Nyheim Hines, RB, Indianapolis Colts |
136 | Team 9 | Ke'Shawn Vaughn, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
137 | Dave's Undercover Team | Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots |
138 | Team 7 | Mike Gesicki, TE, Miami Dolphins |
139 | Team 6 | Chris Herndon, TE, New York Jets |
140 | Team 5 | Austin Hooper, TE, Cleveland Browns |
141 | Team 4 | Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers |
142 | Team 3 | AJ Dillon, RB, Green Bay Packers |
143 | Team 2 | Adrian Peterson, RB, Washington |
144 | Team 1 | Cam Newton, QB, New England Patriots |
ROUND 13 | | |
145 | Team 1 | Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers |
146 | Team 2 | Jerick McKinnon, RB, San Francisco 49ers |
147 | Team 3 | N'Keal Harry, WR, New England Patriots |
148 | Team 4 | Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals |
149 | Team 5 | Jamaal Williams, RB, Green Bay Packers |
150 | Team 6 | Anthony Miller, WR, Chicago Bears |
151 | Team 7 | Sammy Watkins, WR, Kansas City Chiefs |
152 | Dave's Undercover Team | Bryce Love, RB, Washington |
153 | Team 9 | Michael Pittman Jr., WR, Indianapolis Colts |
154 | Team 10 | Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals |
155 | Team 11 | Randall Cobb, WR, Houston Texans |
156 | Team 12 | Bills D/ST |
ROUND 14 | | |
157 | Team 12 | Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers |
158 | Team 11 | 49ers D/ST |
159 | Team 10 | Mohamed Sanu Sr., WR, New England Patriots |
160 | Team 9 | Ravens D/ST |
161 | Dave's Undercover Team | Steven Sims Jr., WR, Washington |
162 | Team 7 | Denzel Mims, WR, New York Jets |
163 | Team 6 | Patriots D/ST |
164 | Team 5 | Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals |
165 | Team 4 | Colts D/ST |
166 | Team 3 | Saints D/ST |
167 | Team 2 | Joshua Kelley, RB, Los Angeles Chargers |
168 | Team 1 | Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs |
ROUND 15 | | |
169 | Team 1 | Sony Michel, RB, New England Patriots |
170 | Team 2 | Broncos D/ST |
171 | Team 3 | Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens |
172 | Team 4 | Darrynton Evans, RB, Tennessee Titans |
173 | Team 5 | Ryquell Armstead, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars |
174 | Team 6 | Carlos Hyde, RB, Seattle Seahawks |
175 | Team 7 | Bears D/ST |
176 | Dave's Undercover Team | Chargers D/ST |
177 | Team 9 | Anthony McFarland Jr., RB, Pittsburgh Steelers |
178 | Team 10 | Vikings D/ST |
179 | Team 11 | Jack Doyle, TE, Indianapolis Colts |
180 | Team 12 | Eric Ebron, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers |
ROUND 16 | | |
181 | Team 12 | Wil Lutz, K, New Orleans Saints |
182 | Team 11 | Matt Prater, K, Detroit Lions |
183 | Team 10 | Greg Zuerlein, K, Dallas Cowboys |
184 | Team 9 | Robbie Gould, K, San Francisco 49ers |
185 | Dave's Undercover Team | Dan Bailey, K, Minnesota Vikings |
186 | Team 7 | Chris Boswell, K, Pittsburgh Steelers |
187 | Team 6 | Matt Gay, K, Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
188 | Team 5 | Zane Gonzalez, K, Arizona Cardinals |
189 | Team 4 | Ka'imi Fairbairn, K, Houston Texans |
190 | Team 3 | Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles |
191 | Team 2 | Jake Elliott, K, Philadelphia Eagles |
192 | Team 1 | Chiefs D/ST |
Which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Visit SportsLine now to get early rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.
















