Nets vs. Mavericks odds, line: NBA picks, predictions from model on 46-32 roll

D'Angelo Russell and the Brooklyn Nets host Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks on Monday, with tipoff from the Barclays Center scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. A recent cold streak has the Nets down to the No. 7 seed in the East, as they enter this game with losses in three straight. However, the Mavs have been equally lackluster, winning just one of their past seven games. Brooklyn is listed as a five-point home favorite on Monday, with the over-under for total points set at 224 in the Nets vs. Mavericks odds. Before you make any Nets vs. Mavericks picks, check out the NBA predictions from SportsLine's proven model. 

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks. It entered Week 20 of the 2018-19 NBA season with a sterling 222-169 record on all top-rated picks, returning more than $4,000 to anybody following them. And it has been particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA picks against the spread, entering Week 20 on a blistering 46-32 run. Anybody who has followed it is way up.

Now it has locked in on Nets vs. Mavericks. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70 percent of simulations. You can only see that extremely strong selection at SportsLine.

The model is well aware of how important home court advantage is in this matchup. The Mavericks have actually been solid at home this season, posting a 21-11 record. It has been a completely different story on the road though, where they're just 6-24. Only the Phoenix Suns have a worse road record than Dallas this season.

Brooklyn's All-Star guard, D'Angelo Russell, is playing some of his best basketball right now. In the four games prior to last game's blowout loss, in which D-Lo played limited minutes, he averaged 28 points and eight assists. With Russell playing at a high level and Caris LeVert and Spencer Dinwiddie finally healthy, the Nets should close the season strong.

Just because Brooklyn benefits from home court advantage doesn't mean it will cover the Nets vs. Mavericks spread on Monday. 

The model is also well aware that while their records may not show it, there's a case to be made that Dallas has been the better team this season. The Mavericks rank above the Nets in defensive efficiency, rebounding rate and point differential. Brooklyn has been slightly better offensively, ranking 19th in offensive efficiency, one spot ahead of Dallas.

But most statistical arguments favor the Mavs. Dallas also may have the best individual player in the game -- Rookie of the Year frontrunner Luka Doncic has been on a tear lately. His minutes were limited in a blowout his last time out, but in the five prior games, Doncic averaged 24 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. Doncic has made scoring look easy since the All-Star Break, averaging over 25 points on 55 percent shooting.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Nets spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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