Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks will take on Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Atlanta is 8-28 overall and 4-12 at home, while Denver is 24-11 overall and 9-7 on the road. Denver, which currently occupies the No. 2 overall seed in the Western Conference, is favored by 7.5 points in the latest Hawks vs. Nuggets odds, while the over-under is set at 218. Before entering any Nuggets vs. Hawks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season it returned a whopping $4,280 on its top-rated NBA spread and money line picks. It's already returned almost $1,800 in profit on all its top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season and entered Week 10 on a blistering 23-11 run on all top-rated NBA spread picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated Hawks vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

The Hawks beat Indiana 116-111 on Saturday. Among those leading the charge for Atlanta was Young, who had 41 points and eight assists. Young ranks fourth in the NBA in scoring (28.8 ppg) and fifth in assists (8.3 apg), but Atlanta has struggled defensively (117.2 points per game allowed).

The Hawks have also had a hard time keeping a strong supporting cast on the floor to help Young, and that could be the case again on Monday as John Collins (back), Jabari Parker (illness) and Cam Reddish (wrist) are all day-to-day. Collins and Reddish could play, though Parker is doubtful. 

Meanwhile, Denver ended up a good deal behind Washington when they played on Saturday, losing 128-114. Shooting guard Gary Harris had a tough game, finishing with only seven points on 3-for-12 shooting in his 31 minutes on the court. 

The Nuggets have found plenty of success overall this season, but haven't been great against the spread. They enter action on Monday with a 14-18-3 record against the number and are just 12-16-3 ATS when favored. Atlanta (+10.5) stayed within the spread and won outright when these teams met on Nov. 12, a 125-121 victory for the Hawks. 

So who wins Nuggets vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Hawks vs. Nuggets spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.