The Denver Broncos will take on the Miami Dolphins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Denver is 3-6 overall and 1-3 at home, while Miami is 6-3 overall and 3-1 on the road. Miami is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Broncos vs. Dolphins odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 45.5. Before entering any Dolphins vs. Broncos picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 18-9 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning over $800. The model also enters Week 11 on an incredible 114-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Broncos vs. Dolphins spread: Broncos +3.5
- Broncos vs. Dolphins over-under: 45.5 points
- Broncos vs. Dolphins money line: Denver +175, Miami -200
What you need to know about the Broncos
The Broncos absorbed a 37-12 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders this past Sunday. Denver was done in by five turnovers in its third loss in four games. Drew Lock threw four interceptions and DaeSean Hamilton lost a fumble. Lock was 23 for 47 for 257 yards with a TD pass to Hamilton. Lock (ribs) is questionable for Week 11 but is expected to play. Noah Fant (ribs) is also listed as questionable.
Melvin Gordon has not hit the 50-yard rushing mark in his past three games. Phillip Lindsay has rushed for 21 yards in his past two games. Jerry Jeudy had four catches for a team-high 68 yards in Week 10. He is aiming for his fourth in row with 65-plus yards. Jeudy ranks fourth among rookies with 552 receiving yards. The Broncos have won two of their past three meetings with the Dolphins.
What you need to know about the Dolphins
Meanwhile, Miami beat the Los Angeles Chargers for its fifth consecutive win, 29-21. Rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has won his first three career starts. He passed for 169 yards and two TDs vs. zero INTs for a 106.9 rating last week. He became the second rookie quarterback in the Super Bowl era to win his first three career starts without throwing an INT. The other was Carson Wentz in 2016.
Rookie Salvon Ahmed rushed for 85 yards and his first career TD last week. Xavien Howard ranks second in the NFL with five INTs this season. Emmanuel Ogbah had a sack and a season-high two passes defensed last week. He has a sack in six consecutive games, the longest active streak in the NFL. He has a sack, forced fumble and a pass defensed in his last two road games. The Dolphins rank fourth in the NFL in forced fumbles, having caused nine on the season.
How to make Broncos vs. Dolphins picks
The model has simulated Broncos vs. Dolphins 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Dolphins vs. Broncos? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Dolphins vs. Broncos spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 11 of the NFL season on an incredible 114-74 roll.