Julio Urias
USATSI

The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to avoid what would turn out to be a surprising four-game sweep by the Miami Marlins by salvaging the series finale on Thursday. The Dodgers (53-34), who are in second place in the National League West, 1.5 games out of first place, saw Miami end a nine-game winning streak to open the series and have lost four of six to the Marlins this season. The host Marlins (38-47), in last place in the National League East, are coming off two walk-off wins in the series.

First pitch from LoanDepot Park in Miami is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. Miami won 9-6 on Wednesday on a three-run, ninth-inning homer by Jesus Aguilar. Los Angeles is a -153 favorite (risk $153 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Dodgers vs. Marlins odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before locking in any Marlins vs. Dodgers picks, you should check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league's last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. It's off to a sizzling start in 2021, going 113-87 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 14 weeks, returning almost $900. Anyone following its MLB picks has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Dodgers vs. Marlins . You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Marlins vs. Dodgers:

  • Dodgers vs. Marlins money line: Los Angeles -153, Miami +143
  • Dodgers vs. Marlins run line: Miami +1.5 (-130)
  • Dodgers vs. Marlins over-under: 7.5 runs
  • LAD: The Dodgers are 25-18 as road favorites
  • MIA: The Marlins are 10-7 as a home underdog

Why you should back the Dodgers

Los Angeles received more bad news on Wednesday when Clayton Kershaw was put on the IL with left elbow inflammation. But the Dodgers can now turn to Julio Urias to function as their ace and get them back on a winning track. He is 7-2 with a 3.40 road ERA and 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA in day games. Urias is tied for the MLB lead with a career-high 10 wins against just three losses with a 3.81 ERA. He has a 3.50 xFIP and has struck out 9.9 batters per nine innings. Urias allowed three runs on three hits in six innings pitched in a win over the Nationals on July 2.

The Dodgers obliterated Sandy Alcantara in their first matchup with him this season, chasing the Miami starter after 1.1 innings on eight runs and seven hits, including a three-run homer by Max Muncy. He is hitting 7 for 20 (.350) vs. Miami this year. Justin Turner hit a three-run home run on Wednesday, his 14th of the season. He has hit six of his seven career homers against the Marlins in Miami. Turner has 12 hits in 24 at-bats with two home runs, five RBI and five runs scored so far in July.  

Why you should back the Marlins

Aguilar's game-winning home run on Wednesday was his 14th of the season, and his first at home. He had four RBIs on Wednesday and has 19 multi-RBI games this season. Garrett Cooper had his first career multi-homer game for Miami, as he hit two solo home runs. He has 14 hits in 29 at-bats with four home runs and nine RBI in 11 games since returning from the injured list. 

Alcantara (5-7, 2.96 ERA) will aim to win his second consecutive start after he beat Atlanta on July 3. The Braves could only manage one unearned run against Alcantara on five hits in six innings. Alcantara has a 1.51 ERA in day games and a 2.61 ERA in home games. Opponents are hitting just .192 against him in Miami so far this year.   

How to make Marlins vs. Dodgers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.6 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can see the pick only at SportsLine.

So who wins Marlins vs. Dodgers? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model that's off to a hot start in 2021, and find out.