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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    Under 165.5
    -112
    Over/Under
    Picked: Dec 16 @ 9:31am

    Analysis

    Think this number has reached a peak. Home teams generally dictate tempo, and that's what I'm counting on here as Dayton generally plays games in the 140s or 150s -- the Flyers allow 71.0 PPG. Florida State will want to push tempo but was held to 76 points in its lone true road game and also held in check by good defensive teams like Texas A&M (FSU scored 59 points) and Houston (scored 67). Our model -- I look for totals -- has 154 points scored.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +283.5
    (60%)
    30-20-5 in Last 55 NHL Picks
    TOR
    -195
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 16 @ 2:26pm

    Analysis

    I'm not sure why I am not being offered -1 with the moneyline having dipped this low. I've gotten it before on prices near -240. But I'll play Leafs -1 priced -150 (it's there). Regulation works too. The Hawks put superstar Connor Bedard on IR Monday and he's everything. Top young blueliner Artyom Levshunov will sit for disciplinary reasons. So yeah I'll do two units at -1 as I struggle to see a Toronto home loss barring Spencer Knight standing on his head for the visitors. Chicago is struggling anyways, especially away at 1-5 in the past six on the road. Good injury news for the Leafs with top goalie Joseph Woll activated off IR. He is 2-0 this month with a 1.20 GAA.
  • expert headshot
    Bob Konarski
    #1
    +1492
    (72%)
    26-10 in Last 36 NCAAB Picks
    SC +12.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 16 @ 2:30pm

    Analysis

    This is the first true road game of the season for South Carolina but this is also a rivalry game. The Tigers are a deep team but they don’t overwhelm their opponents with athleticism. South Carolina is also a deep team, nine players averaging 12 minutes, or more, per game. Each team wants to play in the half-court, so tempo shouldn’t be an issue. The Gamecocks don’t turn the ball over and were competitive against three of their tougher opponents, losing all three of those games by a combined 12 points. South Carolina has also covered three of the last four games against the Tigers.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    #5
    +220
    (57%)
    13-10 in Last 23 NCAAB Picks
    TEXPA +3.5
    -108
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 16 @ 3:25pm

    Analysis

    UT Rio Valley Grande is a team that lost the majority of their starting five from last season. It shows on the floor as they are one of the lowest scoring teams in division one, ranking 296th. They scored just fifty points in their last game against UT Arlington, and have lost four out of their last five games. Expect a close game as Lamar’s only Southland conference game they scored forty nine points against Texas A&M Corpus Christi. Take the points here with UT Rio.
  • expert headshot
    Bob Konarski
    #1
    +1492
    (72%)
    26-10 in Last 36 NCAAB Picks
    MARIST +7
    -114
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 16 @ 3:20pm

    Analysis

    Georgia Tech’s Baye Ndongo is questionable for tonight. He hasn’t played in 13 days, dealing with an undisclosed injury. The Yellow Jackets are only 2-5 ATS at home this season while Marist is 3-0 ATS on the road. The Red Foxes defense is one of the best in country currently, holding their opponents to less than 44% shooting, and should be able to create turnovers as Georgia Tech has struggled protecting the ball. The Red Foxes two losses on the season came by a combined four points and should’ve beaten Xavier, who’s a better team than the Yellow Jackets. Marist is the much better free throw shooting team too, as the Yellow Jackets are near the bottom of the country.

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