Pick Six went 3-3 for the third consecutive week last weekend, and frankly, that sucks. I'm not here trying to win some and lose some, I'm trying to win them all, and 9-9 over a three-week span isn't that.

The good news is that I've learned a few lessons over that span with the latest being that I'll never trust Pittsburgh again this season. Seriously, if you see me coming within a mile of picking the Panthers at any point before 2018, kick me in the face. I won't press charges; I'll send flowers.

Onto this week's picks.

Games of the Week

No. 2 Clemson (-7.5) at No. 12 Virginia Tech: Ever see a point spread and immediately think, "They nailed this one?" Because that's what I think every time I look at the line for this game. There isn't any line in this game that I'm excited about, be it the spread or the point total. Alas, I must pick it anyway, because it's the biggest game of the week.

So since I have to put my faith somewhere, I'm putting it with the Tigers. I'm not worried about how sluggish they looked for three quarters against Boston College last week because I believe they were just looking ahead to this game. Also, while the Hokies are good and quite dangerous, they're still quarterbacked by a freshman, and I worry about an inexperienced QB playing in his first huge game against a defense this good. Plus, while they don't play every season, ever since Dabo Swinney took over at Clemson, the Tigers are 4-0 against the Hokies, winning by an average of 19 points per game. Clemson 27, Virginia Tech 17

No. 24 Mississippi State (+9.5) at No. 13 Auburn: I like this line better than Clemson-Virginia Tech. I firmly believe that people put a little too much stock in Mississippi State's win over LSU because I just don't think LSU is as good as some people want to believe. Still, even though the Bulldogs were exposed a bit against Georgia last week, I don't know what Auburn has done this season to warrant being such a heavy favorite here.

Is it because Auburn scored 51 points against Missouri? That's good and everything, but Missouri State scored 43 against it, so I'm not sure we should be all that impressed. In other words, I think Auburn is getting the same kind of treatment Mississippi State got last week against Georgia. People are too impressed by what it did last week. Auburn 24, Mississippi State 17

Lock of the Week

No. 15 Oklahoma State (-9.5) at Texas Tech: TCU was able to put a cap on Oklahoma State's offense last week. Suffice to say I don't believe Texas Tech's defense is capable of doing the same. Sure, the Red Raiders' defense performed well against Houston last week, but the Cougars only scored 19 points against Arizona this season, and it's possible Houston's offense just isn't that good. We may have been too quick to crown Oklahoma State a playoff contender, but it's a lot better than Tech and will roll. Oklahoma State 45, Texas Tech 28

Underdog of the Week

Baylor (+17) at Kansas State: Did anybody watch Baylor against Oklahoma last week? The Bears racked up 523 yards of offense and 41 points against the Sooners. Yes, they're 0-4, but they haven't lost any game by more than 14 points. It's not like the Bears are getting crushed. If they can hang within eight of Oklahoma, they can cover 17 points against a Kansas State team that lost to the same Vanderbilt team that Alabama annihilated. Kansas State 31, Baylor 23

Over of the Week

Memphis at UCF (Over 69): I'm not sure just how good Memphis is this year. One week it's beating UCLA, the next it's struggling at home against Southern Illinois. Still, while the results vary, there has been one common theme in every Memphis game this season: points. Memphis' three games this season have featured an average of 78 points. UCF, meanwhile, has scored 99 points in its first two games. I expect all of the touchdowns in this game on Saturday. UCF 41, Memphis 37

Under of the Week

Eastern Michigan at Kentucky (Under 50): The last time Eastern Michigan played in a game that the over hit was Nov. 8, 2016. That was seven games ago, which means it's been six straight unders since, and I don't see that changing this week when the Eagles have to play a Kentucky team allowing 18.5 points per game. Of course, this pick is null and void if Kentucky keeps playing that Cover-Nobody defense it featured against Florida last week. Something tells me they've gotten it cleaned up. Kentucky 30, Eastern Michigan 10


Last Week 2017 Overall
Games of the week 1-1 5-3
Lock of the week 1-02-2
Underdog of the week 0-1 2-2
Over of the week 1-02-2
Under of the week 0-1 3-1
Overall 3-3 14-10