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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +361.5
    (60%)
    29-19-5 in Last 53 NHL Picks
    WPG
    -128
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 14 @ 6:35pm

    Analysis

    Extremely fair price on the Jets after reigning Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck returned from injury over the weekend and dominated in a win over Washington. Third different city since Thursday for Ottawa, which is down three injured regulars in forwards in Lars Eller and Shane Pinto and blueliner Thomas Chabot. The Jets swept this series last season pretty easily.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +815
    (53%)
    144-128-5 in Last 277 NFL Picks
    MIA +3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 9 @ 4:17pm

    Analysis

    We'll see if De'Von Achane is able to play, but early indication is that his injury is minor. Whoever the Dolphins roll out at RB could be in for a monster game, as the Steelers have been gashed for 466 rushing yards the last two weeks. Miami has 160+ rushing yards in four straight, even with Achane leaving early last week, so Miami's path to offensive success is clear. The Dolphins defense has allowed 17 points or less in four straight, and the Steelers offense isn't exactly firing on all cylinders down the stretch. This is one that should be 3 at best, so I'll take the hook.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +88.5
    (63%)
    12-7 in Last 19 NFL ML Picks
    PIT
    -175
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 10:39am

    Analysis

    This is already ticking up and if De'Von Achane is ruled out for Miami, it surely will land north of -200. So let's take it now. Achane has been a huge reason the Fins have won four straight, rushing for at least 160 yards as a team in each. Will the Steelers really blow their huge Week 14 win in Baltimore for control of the AFC North by giving this one away? Miami has lost 13 straight games with game-time temperatures under 40 degrees and also 13 in a row on the road vs. teams entering with winning records. Both are the longest active losing streaks in the NFL.
  • expert headshot
    Daniel Vithlani
    +1058
    (54%)
    107-91-2 in Last 200 NFL Picks
    MIA +3.5
    -118
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 3:48pm

    Analysis

    The Dolphins are 5-1 in their last 6 games, and have found their offensive identity behind a successful rush attack. The Steelers have been getting gashed on the ground in recent weeks, allowing 249 rushing yards to the Bills and 217 to the Ravens. Miami have also quietly been playing much better defense, now ranking 8th in defensive rush DVOA. Pittsburgh will probably be a popular pick coming off their upset win over the Ravens, but this feels like a let down spot. I like the Dolphins to keep it within a FG.
  • expert headshot
    Dave Richard
    +857
    (75%)
    12-4 in Last 16 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Warren
    Under 52.5
    -112
    Rushing Yards
    Picked: Dec 12 @ 2:38pm

    Analysis

    Warren's efficiency has been erratic -- just five games all year with more than 3.8 yards per rush with none in past three. And while his carry share in those past three is 61%, his snap rate is barely ahead of Kenneth Gainwell's -- 51% to 48.5%. Warren has averaged 3.2 yards per carry to Gainwell's 6.7. And Gainwell's been the better pass-catcher in terms of volume and receiving average too. I wonder if the Steelers make a pivot to Gainwell so defenses can't key in on them. By the way, Miami's run defense has improved greatly, giving up 3.9 yards per rush with an impressive 6.6% explosive rush rate allowed and zero touchdowns. This could be a big week for Gainwell, not Warren.

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